Reply to Allegedly there are several options for the fall none of which include being back full time?

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Reply to "Allegedly there are several options for the fall none of which include being back full time?"

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]The data is very encouraging. https://coronavirus.maryland.gov/ The positivity rate dropped from 27% to 7.6%, number of currently hospitalized dropped from 1700 to 1000, number of death dropped from more than 50 to 9 over about a month.
And we still have almost 3 months until school starts. Planning to keep schools closed is totally unacceptable. Other areas/countries are planning to have students in class earlier than usual to make up for the lost instruction. I agree that if schools still do not open for ALL students in MoCo, it will not be swallowed easily by public.  [/quote]

Here's data by county:
https://phpa.health.maryland.gov/Documents/Positivity%20by%20Jurisdiction.pdf

MoCo has a 10.8% positive rate, 3rd highest in the state.

My thinking is that MoCo will make a more restrictive decision compared to many MD counties (except PG and Baltimore), because the numbers and rates are so high comparatively.[/quote]

The MoCo data dashboard says it’s 12% (using three-day average): https://montgomerycountymd.gov/HHS/RightNav/Coronavirus-data.html[/quote]
[b]In less than 2 weeks, it will be less than 8%. In less than 4 weeks it will be less than 5%. By the end of July, it will be less than 3%. By the end of August, it will be less than 1%. This assumes MoCo continues to open up. Save this post.[/b] [/quote]
I came up with the above prediction through my statistical programming two days ago. I'm still behind it.[/quote]

From your mouth to gods ears![/quote]
Based on all the publicly available data since the beginning of this, each one of those predictions have a probability of 98% to be true. If you call that wishful thinking so be it. I'm just curious analyzing all this.[/quote]
Based on my software and available data, I made the above predictions 8 days ago on June 7th, when MoCo's three day moving average for positivity rate was 12%. Some people mocked me. Today MoCo's moving average is 7%. I think we can check off the first prediction. I'm still behind the remaining predictions.[/quote]
The second of my 4 predictions is now also met 3 weeks and 3 days after. When I made these predictions on June 7th, MoCo's three day moving average was 12%. Today it is 5%. I'm still behind my remaining 2 predictions.[/quote]

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