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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Do we really need a poll to tell us how terrible Trump is? [/quote]

We know how you feel.  But how do other people feel?  Polls may have issues with accuracy but they're all we've got. So that's what we look at.[/quote]

Did 2016 and 2024 teach you nothing about polls? Trump is like teflon, they may not agree but they’d still support him and zero people are standing up to him so who cares about a poll, it will have zero impact on Trump or his supporters.[/quote]

Trump has a high floor of guaranteed support but it's the 5% to 10% of true swing voters who matter as they determine national elections.

When POTUS polling averages suggests a 50% job approval rating that sticks for several months, the sitting POTUS can be considered adequately popular at the time and not a drag on the party.

When POTUS polling averages suggests a 40% job approval rating that sticks for several months as we've recently seen with Biden and and Trump 1st term, the sitting POTUS is a drag on the party and if that unpopular during an election year, the incumbent party has zero chance of retaining The White House. We saw this play out in 2020 and 2024 when even weak POTUS candidates were able to beat the incumbent party candidate and we'll likely see it again in 2028.

Yes, polling averages matter.[/quote]

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