Reply to If every kid is doing the same damn EC

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]There are tons of kids who get into top colleges with the formula of:

Top grades in hardest tracks 
Tippy top test scores 
Enough ECs to pass muster as well rounded

This was me and most of my friends, who were all top 25% (and usually top 10%) at Ivy graduation.
[/quote]

Unless you and most of your friends went to ivies within the last 2 (maybe 3) years, your experience is not relevant to how college admissions is now. [/quote]

Maybe.  But honestly someone who has a top 1% IQ and a top, say, 5% IQ is still going to do awesome at life if they end up at Vanderbilt or Boston College instead of Columbia or whatever.

You can train your kid to become a national fiddling champion to try to get some perceived advantage but in the end talent + discipline + EQ will result in positive life outcomes.

Anyway this is a temporary squeeze birth rates are declining so for those with young kids, it’s going to go back to being like the 90s and 00s again in another decade or so.[/quote]

Competition for top schools will generally increase not decline.
The population cliff may not be what you think it is.  
There is a huge third generation hispanic population that is going to flood the market, their parents are middle class and focused on their kids getting the education that they never got.
This is (combined with immigration) is going to be more than enough to counter the 1% shrinking of graduating class sizes.

The value of educational pedigree has only increased and the population of people seeking that pedigree will only increase.
Sure, a lot of lower tier colleges and universities will go out of business but the most selective schools will continue to be very selective.[/quote]

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