Reply to APS Engage Update Pre-CIP Report

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]For the Hamm people complaining, what is your proposal to fill Williamsburg then?  Who should get bused over there?  Not your children.  We’ve got that.[/quote]

Question: why is APS so bad at calculating seats/future needs?   Are less families moving to WMS/DHMS?   Is this driven in part by the exodus of North Arlington families to private school?   Does APS track or publish that information? [/quote]

Just my observations watching this over many years.

1.  Covid definitely impacted things.
2.  In past boundary adjustments, the School Board responds to the people screaming in their faces right in the moment.  This was the case with the boundary adjustments when Hamm was opened.  Hamm never had enough kids and Swanson had too many.  People screamed about not leaving Swanson.  Same issue with Cardinal.  The McKinley community screamed and yelled to stay together and give it a couple years that school will be overcrowded.  The problem is this thread.  What's going on right now.  Listening to current families over what makes sense longer-term.[/quote]

Right, I don’t disagree with you.   But I still would be very curious about the covid impact. How big was it?  Is it here to stay?  What are the current numbers?

APS does not give two wits about the kids leaving for PS, I know, which is one of the reasons they are leaving.  But it’s impacting neighborhoods/neighborhood schools in N Arlington communities in a way that is new and different.   It would be useful to understand it.  Especially when APS appears to be absolutely abysmal at forecasting seating/buildings. [/quote]

You can find all the enrollment data on line and draw conclusions yourself about where these kids went.  The data is all there.[/quote]

Ok help me then.  Can you point me to where?  What percentage departed?   How did that change from past years?  Are they reenrolling?  What is the impact on seating capacity at WMS?  YHS?  If it’s significant, has anyone looked at whether these kids are come back?   How would that impact seating?   If it becomes the norm in certain neighborhoods, do we expect it to increase?  If so, does that mean even emptier N Arlington schools? [/quote]

Not known. But we do know some are coming back. APS was off by 100+ in its projections for Nottingham, Discovery, Taylor, and Cardinal in the last year. That doesn’t account for any residual redshirts or people who did private kindergarten in the face of continued COVID uncertainty that are enrolling next year.

APS doesn’t want to know the answer, because they are planning to firm up the decision to shut down Nottingham by October. [/quote]

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