Reply to Elrich plan for MoCo

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]As a data scientist, if we look at what data is published by the state.   https://data.imap.maryland.gov/search?q=COVID-19  (time series data - health site gives daily snapshot)
look at what we know about COVID in Moco specifically around the nursing home cases , (deaths taking 90% of the Moco deaths this week), and expecting that nursing home patients are unlikely to recover at the same rate or with same outcome as someone outside the nursing home, *

the criteria Erlich and Gayles - even if we give the benefit that it is well intentioned, is impossible to achieve.

There really should be a robust committee of medical professionals around this and with transparent data on this.  Hogan should not allow them to do a separate approach.

*The situation in the nursing homes is really terrible for all involved.  Really terrible.  There is no science to show that the outcome for those Moco nursing home patients who acquired the disease weeks ago will miraculously have better than national outcomes and there will be a long tail of daily deaths from this.  That said, the spread, from the nursing homes to staff and community can be prevented. or at least significantly slowed  Hogan outlined that plan weeks ago, but its very unclear to me what is actually happening at the MoCo level.  For the normal citizen, us locking down more will have no impact on that terrible situation.

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I 100% agree. I am not a data scientist, but can do basic descriptive statistics. I got the sense MoCo's approach didn't make sense, so brought the numbers to my husband, who does data analysis all day long, and supervises data scientists.
 
He said, "That's the stupidest fking approach I've ever seen." [/quote]

I supervise some data scientists these days who do visualizations.   I think a student from UMD could do quick visualizations (Power BI / tableau)  and that help explain the absurdity of this pretty quickly.  My skills are a bit rusty.  It's not just showing where it doesn't make sense, but hyper focus on resources where we need it.

[/quote]

Sure, absolutely. You could do it Tableau very quickly. The data are all there. [/quote]

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