Reply to Elrich plan for MoCo

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]So Elrich & Gayles say they need to see a 14-day decline in cases, deaths, hospitalizations, ICU admissions, and ER usage by COVID patients. Fine.

But here's the thing: We haven't actually been adding a huge number of cases or having a huge number of deaths per day.

I don't want to minimize cases or deaths, but I took a 7-day average for MoCo cases: it's 206. Keep in mind that, given a statewide case increase of about 1,000 per day, proportionately we should be adding about 170/day. So we're not doing hugely above what would be expected, and the overage is likely mostly due to universal nursing home testing (MoCo has a lot of nursing homes).

The 7-day average for daily deaths is 14.

So they want a decrease on daily deaths below 14? That's unrealistic, especially considering 90% of last week's deaths in MoCo were in nursing homes.

[/quote]

Very good points. Today's data release from MD shows 44 deaths state-wide. So MoCo's number of deaths is pretty low to begin with.[/quote]

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