Reply to Spots Available/ Acceptance Numbers - Please Explain How This Works!

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[quote=Anonymous]It's not so different from colleges. Schools use their historical "yield" rate to decide whether and by how much to over-admit. Let's say that over the last ten years, 40% of students admitted to 9th grade at school X have enrolled. School X knows that unless something really weird happens to change its popularity, the same will probably happen this year, so they admit enough students that a 40% yield rate will get them roughly the number of students they want. If they have a 75% yield rate, they can admit fewer students per "slot"; if they have a 20% yield rate, they can admit more.

Obviously there is some built in uncertainty: this is not an exact science. Sometimes weird things do happen and more kids than expected accept (or turn down) offers. When that happens, schools just have to deal with it. They try hard to avoid big surprises, but occasionally they happen -- that's why from time to time you see one grade with more kids in it than other grades.

The more established the school, the easier it is for them to predict yield rates. Newer schools and schools where there have been significant changes find it tougher.[/quote]

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