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DC Public and Public Charter Schools
Reply to "Data-driven lottery predictions! "
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Ooo. Folks may recognize me from other threads: Ross Garrison ITDS EL Haynes John Lewis Lee Montessori - Brookland K and 1st, they'll have sibling preference with each other. Would absolutely move after school starts. [/quote] OP here. Two kids at once gives you a big leg up, but also makes this harder to calculate. I went ahead and assumed that if one gets in to a school, they pull the other one in to simplify the math. That's probably mostly a reasonable assumption, but probably over-represents your odds a bit, particularly for Ross where they take so few kids, and for an October waitlist offer, which may come too late to bring in the other. So keep that in mind when looking at this - your chances are probably lower than this (esp. at Ross). Oh and note to everyone - I'm using five year averages for this. Ross - 23% Garrison - 73% ITDS - 0% Haynes - 0% Lewis - 2% Lee - 0% Nothing - 2% Bottom line - have fun at Garrison![/quote] Wait, zero at Lee? Lee Brookland made 21 K and 15 1st grade offers last year. Are you using the October column?[/quote] OP here - yes, you would have a decent shot at Lee, except if you're getting into Lee, you're getting into Garrison, and Garrison is listed first. So that takes Lee off the table. Sorry - if you were excited about Lee, [b]you'd need to list it above schools like Garrison and John Lewis to have any chance of matching there.[/b] [/quote] Correct. You must list in preference order![/quote] Also, PP, it’s not too late! You can reorder your list until 3/13, I believe![/quote]
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