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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]I think there is exactly one thing that will make or break Euclid:

Do the high achieving, high test scores kids from Garrison, Seaton, and Marie Reed (I don't think there are more than a couple of these kids by the later grades at Cleveland, Tubman and Cooke) stay the very first year? I believe that's current 3rd graders.

Basically, if you've got a third grade kid getting 3s or 4s on PARC at one of those school, it's up to you.

[b]Not exaggerating: this could come down to 20 kids.[/b] If they go that first year, you'll have a cohort of kids doing on/above grade level work and it'll snowball. More and more kids will go every year, and you'll end up with test scores similar to Seaton (about a third at or above grade level) and decent neighborhood buy in indefinitely.

If that number is less than 10 kids, the school will never recover, it'll look like Cardozo did or if it does, it'll be 10+ years from now. [/quote]

I think this is really true.

I think is some nervousness among that grade (current 3rd graders) about being guinea pigs. Many will peel off -- some of them are younger siblings, so they will likely follow their older siblings to Francis; others will take Latin or BASIS if they get in. It will be fascinating to see what happens.

[/quote]

Here's a question for the lottery nerds: if a family does take a risk on Euclid and it doesn't work out, what are your lottery options for 7th grade? Are you basically stuck at your inbound at that point? Presumably you have a snowball's chance in hell at Latin, but what about ITS? Sojourner? Eliot-Hine? Stuart-Hobson? John Francis? Do they even take kids in 7th grade?[/quote]

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