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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Aren’t we now at a point where the birth rates fell during the recession in 08-09, never recovered to the same levels as pre-recession, and now most of the pre-recession and recession-era kids have graduated from HS? A child born in 2008 would be graduating from HS at the end of this coming school year, possibly 2027 if they are older for grade. It’s no surprise that school enrollment is falling if the numbers of children are also falling. [/quote]
Yes,  I think it's a confluence of things.[/quote]

https://www.consumershield.com/articles/births-in-us-each-year

The “baby peak” was 2006-2007-2008. By May 2027, those kids will all be out of the schools. Then there was a drop to a relatively stable but lower level in 2010 (4.32 million to roughly 4 million per year). This lasted until 2017 when it started to fall again, to 3.8 million, then fell even further during Covid to around 3.6 million/year.

Kids born in 2020 are turning 5 and starting K this coming school year and won’t be fully replacing the number of graduating seniors. [/quote]

The article was reporting on the year to year drop within a cohort like in middle school.

Agreed the demographic crunch will hurt many schools. [/quote]

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