Anonymous
Post 07/17/2025 08:52     Subject: public school enrollment continues to decline
Where I live, the elementary school was built in the 60s for 600 kids. It was alleviated by two local parochial schools which also had hundreds of kids. Both those school closed in the 2010s and the elementary school was expanded to hold 850 kids but it's well above that and there were trailers in the yard immediately after the expansion. There has been no housing built, just young families moving into old people's homes. I think the admin will be relieved when enrollment drops.
Anonymous
Post 07/17/2025 08:47     Subject: public school enrollment continues to decline
Anonymous wrote:Because the people who work in education at the top are miserable agenda pushing idiots. DCPS for example.so they make everyone else’s lives miserable.


DCPS enrollment is actually rising. Probably a bad place to look for explanations for why enrollment elsewhere is falling.
Anonymous
Post 07/16/2025 19:56     Subject: public school enrollment continues to decline
As someone in the SN forum noted, public schools can't even meet the needs of NT students, never mind SN students. That's why families are bailing out.

I feel for the teachers, I really do. It's not their fault, the system is set up to fail so many kids--yet have as many of them graduate high school as possible. It's just plain f'ed, through and through.
Anonymous
Post 07/16/2025 19:26     Subject: Re:public school enrollment continues to decline
My take as a teacher is this is not a bad thing. There's such a horrific teacher shortage that declining enrollment can only help mitigate that a tiny bit. Imagine if we had increasing enrollment with such a teacher recruitment and retention issue?
Anonymous
Post 07/16/2025 17:14     Subject: public school enrollment continues to decline
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Aren’t we now at a point where the birth rates fell during the recession in 08-09, never recovered to the same levels as pre-recession, and now most of the pre-recession and recession-era kids have graduated from HS? A child born in 2008 would be graduating from HS at the end of this coming school year, possibly 2027 if they are older for grade. It’s no surprise that school enrollment is falling if the numbers of children are also falling.

Yes, I think it's a confluence of things.


https://www.consumershield.com/articles/births-in-us-each-year

The “baby peak” was 2006-2007-2008. By May 2027, those kids will all be out of the schools. Then there was a drop to a relatively stable but lower level in 2010 (4.32 million to roughly 4 million per year). This lasted until 2017 when it started to fall again, to 3.8 million, then fell even further during Covid to around 3.6 million/year.

Kids born in 2020 are turning 5 and starting K this coming school year and won’t be fully replacing the number of graduating seniors.


The article was reporting on the year to year drop within a cohort like in middle school.

Agreed the demographic crunch will hurt many schools.
Anonymous
Post 07/16/2025 16:53     Subject: public school enrollment continues to decline
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Aren’t we now at a point where the birth rates fell during the recession in 08-09, never recovered to the same levels as pre-recession, and now most of the pre-recession and recession-era kids have graduated from HS? A child born in 2008 would be graduating from HS at the end of this coming school year, possibly 2027 if they are older for grade. It’s no surprise that school enrollment is falling if the numbers of children are also falling.

Yes, I think it's a confluence of things.


https://www.consumershield.com/articles/births-in-us-each-year

The “baby peak” was 2006-2007-2008. By May 2027, those kids will all be out of the schools. Then there was a drop to a relatively stable but lower level in 2010 (4.32 million to roughly 4 million per year). This lasted until 2017 when it started to fall again, to 3.8 million, then fell even further during Covid to around 3.6 million/year.

Kids born in 2020 are turning 5 and starting K this coming school year and won’t be fully replacing the number of graduating seniors.
Anonymous
Post 07/16/2025 16:10     Subject: public school enrollment continues to decline
Anonymous wrote:Aren’t we now at a point where the birth rates fell during the recession in 08-09, never recovered to the same levels as pre-recession, and now most of the pre-recession and recession-era kids have graduated from HS? A child born in 2008 would be graduating from HS at the end of this coming school year, possibly 2027 if they are older for grade. It’s no surprise that school enrollment is falling if the numbers of children are also falling.

Yes, I think it's a confluence of things.
Anonymous
Post 07/16/2025 16:03     Subject: Re:public school enrollment continues to decline
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:None of this is surprising. Increase in homeschooling after the pandemic was bound to happen. Rich people have the money for private so they are opting for private. Public schools refuse to address behavior or differentiate in a way that supports advanced students. So families are leaving.


If you have a bright student, the literal worst thing you can do is keep them at home to watch television and observe your "research" on Tiktok about things kids should know that colleges won't teach.


This is not what rich people with bright kids did, during or after the pandemic. The rich people who wanted in person during Covid went to private schools that offered it or started pods and put their kids in those. The people with older kids who could handle the technology hired virtual tutors or put their kids in online schools with other bright kids. Once those families got a glimpse of school without all the behavior stuff that happens in regular classrooms, many decided not to return.


+1

Virtual schools flourished after the pandemic.
Anonymous
Post 07/16/2025 15:16     Subject: public school enrollment continues to decline
Aren’t we now at a point where the birth rates fell during the recession in 08-09, never recovered to the same levels as pre-recession, and now most of the pre-recession and recession-era kids have graduated from HS? A child born in 2008 would be graduating from HS at the end of this coming school year, possibly 2027 if they are older for grade. It’s no surprise that school enrollment is falling if the numbers of children are also falling.
Anonymous
Post 07/16/2025 15:16     Subject: Re:public school enrollment continues to decline
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:None of this is surprising. Increase in homeschooling after the pandemic was bound to happen. Rich people have the money for private so they are opting for private. Public schools refuse to address behavior or differentiate in a way that supports advanced students. So families are leaving.


If you have a bright student, the literal worst thing you can do is keep them at home to watch television and observe your "research" on Tiktok about things kids should know that colleges won't teach.


This is not what rich people with bright kids did, during or after the pandemic. The rich people who wanted in person during Covid went to private schools that offered it or started pods and put their kids in those. The people with older kids who could handle the technology hired virtual tutors or put their kids in online schools with other bright kids. Once those families got a glimpse of school without all the behavior stuff that happens in regular classrooms, many decided not to return.
Anonymous
Post 07/16/2025 14:43     Subject: Re:public school enrollment continues to decline
Anonymous wrote:None of this is surprising. Increase in homeschooling after the pandemic was bound to happen. Rich people have the money for private so they are opting for private. Public schools refuse to address behavior or differentiate in a way that supports advanced students. So families are leaving.


If you have a bright student, the literal worst thing you can do is keep them at home to watch television and observe your "research" on Tiktok about things kids should know that colleges won't teach.
Anonymous
Post 07/16/2025 14:40     Subject: Re:public school enrollment continues to decline
We left public for private and my only regret is not doing it sooner. And we are in a good school district.
Anonymous
Post 07/16/2025 14:29     Subject: Re:public school enrollment continues to decline
None of this is surprising. Increase in homeschooling after the pandemic was bound to happen. Rich people have the money for private so they are opting for private. Public schools refuse to address behavior or differentiate in a way that supports advanced students. So families are leaving.
Anonymous
Post 07/16/2025 10:34     Subject: public school enrollment continues to decline
Because the people who work in education at the top are miserable agenda pushing idiots. DCPS for example.so they make everyone else’s lives miserable.
Anonymous
Post 07/16/2025 10:26     Subject: public school enrollment continues to decline
This was just on wtop

https://wtop.com/virginia/2025/07/public-school-enrollment-continues-to-fall-including-in-virginia/



“
Across the country, public school enrollment has failed to rebound to pre-pandemic levels — and data suggests the decline is far from over.

“

Why are officials making this worse each year ?