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Reply to "With declining birth replacement rates around the world …"
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]On a country level immigration can work, although most countries are bad at it. But this is a global trend, birth rates are collapsing everywhere. Even in high fertility countries birth rates are dropping at a historically unprecedented pace. Something most don’t realize is that peak baby happened in 2012 for the entire world. There likely will never be that many births again (146M, we are currently at 132M and dropping). Nobody should be concerned about a slow steady decline in population. But if every country turn into Japan/Korea levels of births there will be major issues worldwide. Big difference between world-wide fertility rates of 1.7-1.9 and those ultra low 1.2 or even crazier South Korea level of .8.[/quote] What is it in Italy? They were trying to incentivize people to have more babies but I don’t think it worked. [/quote] 370k births last year (vs 651k deaths) their lowest since the countries unification in 1861. Down 2.6% from last year and 36% since 2008. Fertility rates at record low 1.18 (2.1 is replacement). Close to the point where each generation would be half the size of the previous. Those famous $1 houses will continue and expand significantly, problem with that is they attract retirees when they need young people. Expect entire regions, not just villages, to empty out in the not too distinct future.[/quote]
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