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Metropolitan DC Local Politics
Reply to "If you’re a moderate democrat in MD…"
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[quote=Anonymous]The mail voting is really going to screw with the election results. Moore will have a solid lead tonight, as EV skews progressive in MD. But mail voting is much more moderate. For the best election discussion, look at the PredictIt forum for this race. Intreresting comment thread here (scroll down): https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7599/Who-will-win-the-2022-Maryland-Democratic-gubernatorial-nomination#comment-5920742540 [quote][i] Pro Franchot without a doubt. He's going to be a guaranteed 3rd place after election night because the vote is heavily over 65 / moderate in MD. The question will be "how heavy" ... Moore will be a good chunk as well, but not as heavy as Peter. And Perez will have very little of the mail, so unless he has a nice lead after election night, he has no path come Wednesday morning. You can take a look at the Cuellar / Cisneros election(s) to see how progressive the ED vote is vs. the mail and how moderate the mail is vs. the ED. There's a very real chance that on election night, Franchot has not won a single county and he ends up with 60% of them won by election end.[/i][/quote][/quote]
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