Reply to How to determine if HYPS SCEA or elite ED makes more sense?

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]How can I gauge if DS is competitive enough that he can shoot for his top HYPS choice early or whether he should play it safer and apply to the ED ivy/ivy-equivalent he prefers most? What is a rough cutoff in terms of grades, stats, accomplishments that would determine which strategy makes more sense? I know it is a kind of abstract question but I m confused as to which is the best way to go. He is a very competitive student near the top of his class but he is not a prodigy or anything. He is white, upper-middle class and goes to an ivy feeder prep school. [/quote]

OP my D went through a similar decision making process.  With how difficult it is to get into HYPS with their single digit admission rates, its a real world exercise in game theory.  Do you apply SCEA to somewhere you have less than 10% chance (after you account for athletic, legacy and hook admits) or apply to somewhere your child would be happy at but have a 30% chance ED?  My D chose early action at HYPS rather than ED as a legacy at another top school and got deferred and then rejected from her top RD choices.  She is now happy at UVA so it worked out for her in the end but I wonder if she had it to do over again whether she'd make the same choice.  [/quote]

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