Reply to Holy cow. In terms of crowding, we haven't seen nothing yet.

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Reply to "Holy cow. In terms of crowding, we haven't seen nothing yet."

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[quote=Anonymous]So there are currently about 80k students ages 3-17 in DCPS and Charters.

In doing an analysis to assess demand for seats (vs current capacity) the Office of Planning created the following projections of number of students (note figures exclude the approx. 17% of DC kids who attend privates) are going to skyrocket.

Here are the mid-range numbers for the next five years:
2016    80,039
2017    84,076
2018    88,172
2019    92,310
2020    96,574
2021  100,879

Looks like the good news is that between the two sectors there are 108k seats of capacity. Going to bet they don't reflect schools generally pursued by DCUM'ers.

Would love to see a breakdown by age-range to see. Maybe some digging would turn up those numbers on dme.dc.gov.
–How much is new families entering school system for the first time?
–How much are students staying for MS or HS whose families would have left a decade ago? (In which case, what is the Office of Planning smoking if they believe that families will stay with the current MS offerings?).

Probably many many other factors at work as well.

Source, Factsheet: https://dme.dc.gov/node/1198445[/quote]

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