McDaniel on FCPS budget

Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:My expectation is that they will add a Meals tax and will not lower the Real Estate tax. Taxes never go down, only up.


I would rather this also, mostly because we never eat out. How do they even enact a meals tax? Is there a vote?


They will do both. Don't fall for the Lies. This county always has an excuse to spend more and does not care about responsibly using taxpayers money. It's not an either or thing, a meals tax just means more taxes for Fairfax.

The 8130 push is the most significant action a FCPS school board has taken toward a responsible budget in more than two decades. Boards have seen the writing on the wall for years and have kicked the can down the road year after year fearing political backlash. This Board actually had the courage to do something, namely, to provide a mechanism by which the FCPS administrator can propose to more efficiently allocate limited fiscal resources for transportation and school facilities across the county. Whether the FCPS will actually need to use 8130 to do anything more than minor boundary adjustments will likely depend on the amount of money coming from the state as well as local tax revenues, but now at least the FCPS finally has a tool at their disposal to meet budgetary constraints beyond tax, tax, and tax some more.


I sense a lot of sock puppeting on this thread but needless to say shoring up the budget by kicking families out of their current schools is ultimately a self-defeating strategy, whether the goals are budgetary or, more likely, social.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:My expectation is that they will add a Meals tax and will not lower the Real Estate tax. Taxes never go down, only up.


I would rather this also, mostly because we never eat out. How do they even enact a meals tax? Is there a vote?


They will do both. Don't fall for the Lies. This county always has an excuse to spend more and does not care about responsibly using taxpayers money. It's not an either or thing, a meals tax just means more taxes for Fairfax.

The 8130 push is the most significant action a FCPS school board has taken toward a responsible budget in more than two decades. Boards have seen the writing on the wall for years and have kicked the can down the road year after year fearing political backlash. This Board actually had the courage to do something, namely, to provide a mechanism by which the FCPS administrator can propose to more efficiently allocate limited fiscal resources for transportation and school facilities across the county. Whether the FCPS will actually need to use 8130 to do anything more than minor boundary adjustments will likely depend on the amount of money coming from the state as well as local tax revenues, but now at least the FCPS finally has a tool at their disposal to meet budgetary constraints beyond tax, tax, and tax some more.


So your position is that the school board has the courage to take student’s as proverbial hostages unless the state pays more.

Wow.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:My expectation is that they will add a Meals tax and will not lower the Real Estate tax. Taxes never go down, only up.


That’s why flat no raises is what we need now. Stop the waste.
Anonymous
jvmorgan wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
I would rather this also, mostly because we never eat out. How do they even enact a meals tax? Is there a vote?


The fact that a meals tax is based on discretionary spending (food away from home expenditures) rather than basic living costs (housing) is a benefit of a meals tax. No one has yet to show that aggregate spending on food away from home expenditures would be significantly depressed with a meals tax. There’s not a lot of reason to believe it would be given that other Northern Virginia jurisdictions, even with a meals tax, show strong growth in food away from home expenditures and given that Fairfax County has a lot of well-off households (about 34% have incomes greater than $200k). But individual households, if they do feel the impact of that additional 1-6%, have the option of preparing more meals at home to mitigate the impact. Households could also go to Loudoun County, the one other hold out in Northern Virginia. But given transportation costs, it seems unlikely many would make the trip, unless they were doing it out of spite for Fairfax County adopting a meals tax. And I wouldn’t be surprised if Loudoun eventually adopts a meals tax as well.

The Fairfax County Board of Supervisors might only begin to consider officially a Meals Tax after the County Executive delivers his September report on tax diversification options, including a Meals Tax of 1-6%. After the report is considered, the Board of Supervisors would still need to vote on whether to adopt a Meals Tax, what the rate would be, and other important matters like how much (if anything) restaurants would get to retain from the meals tax revenues collected for the service of holding such revenues in trust for Fairfax County and when the Meals Tax would go into effect (time would be needed for both the County and the restaurants to work out the logistics). A simple majority is all that would be needed for a Meals Tax to be adopted.


When we get home from a long day and picking up kids, most of the time we pick up food bc there isn’t time to cook. So now they want to put more tax burden on those where both parents work. It’s not discretionary, it’s how we can maintain our house with so much to juggle.
jvmorgan
Member Offline
Anonymous wrote:
When we get home from a long day and picking up kids, most of the time we pick up food bc there isn’t time to cook. So now they want to put more tax burden on those where both parents work. It’s not discretionary, it’s how we can maintain our house with so much to juggle.


I remember hearing this argument a lot in 2016. Usually in the third-person, but sometimes in the first person. I sympathize, of course. I have kids and sometimes none of the adults have the energy to fix them something to eat. Fortunately, they’ve old enough that we can get away with telling them to fix something for themselves. But younger kids . . . meh.

Anyway, regardless of whether a household tries to mitigate a meals tax by preparing meals at home more often, or just has to pay that additional marginal expense for meals they just don’t have the energy to make for themselves, a meals tax provides savings for Fairfax County residents compared with raising the same revenues through real estate taxes.

Visitors to Fairfax County would be expected to contribute to about 30% of the revenues generated. What this means is savings across the board for Fairfax County residents (at the expense of visitors to Fairfax County (sorry)). For lower-income households (those with incomes below $30k), a meals tax would cost about half as much as the real estate tax would cost in order to generate the same revenue. For upper-income households ($200k or more), a meals tax would cost about 75% the cost of equivalent real estate taxes.

Of course, if the contribution from visitors turned out to be less than 30%, those savings would be reduced. But even if only 5% of revenues came from visitors to Fairfax County, upper-income households would break even and lower-income households would realize savings relative to the equivalent in generating revenue through real estate taxes.
Anonymous
FCPS has to operate with its means, and reduced revenues associated with declining commercial real estate values (from COVID-induced telework and remote work) necessitated that action be taken to increase revenues or reduce FCPS operational costs.

Had residents previously voted to approve the meals tax, or had the State agreed to provide requested funding, there is no chance this board would have taken up 8130. They would have kicked the can down the road again. There are perhaps a few members of the board that support 8130 out of some desire to improve social equity, but other members supported it who could not give a #]^#*{ about social equity. Moving 8130 required the mutual support or “alliance” of the social equity supporters and the members who see a budgetary / fiscal cliff rapidly approaching.
Anonymous
jvmorgan wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Many people live in PWC because they don't deal with the BS in Fairfax. It's more balanced politically and not completely run by tax and spend leftists. PWC actually cut the property tax rate this year, unlike Fairfax.


I certainly do not profess to be an expert on Prince William County, its politics, or its budget. But I do know they started collecting a meals tax (“food and beverage tax”) in 2022. https://www.pwcva.gov/assets/2022-06/MealsTax_TaxpayerBrochure_FINAL_5-27_Web.pdf I also know that they projected this tax would bring in 2.7% ($42,000,000) of their FY2025 revenues. https://www.pwcva.gov/assets/2024-07/FY2025_Budget.pdf This is an increase of 31.25% over what they had projected ($32,000,000) for FY2024.

It’s possible that the additional revenue from a meals tax—not to mention the increased certainty after seeing it implemented for a few years—may have helped Prince William County in its decision to lower the real estate tax rate.


Interesting. But does PWC have equitable taxes, fees, services based on addresses or zones? FX does not for trash, bond projects, special tax districts etc. 7-10% of FX base residential RE rate goes to bond repayments. Political bond projects or those without special tax districts cause lack of build where needed. https://www.fairfaxcounty.gov/taxes/real-estate/tax-rates

PWC has 2 IB HS- 1 east 1 west, transport provided for those who need it based on sending school zones. IB costs more than AP. And the cost for the Programme which had junk results like most in FCPS? 2022-23 VDOE for PWC IB at 2 sites totaled 35 senior diploma candidates and 20 diplomas. Lewis 3/6 Mount Vernon 4/15. Supertest didn't work.

ARL IB was 95/96 so that opt in worked.
jvmorgan
Member Offline
Anonymous wrote:
Interesting. But does PWC have equitable taxes, fees, services based on addresses or zones?


Again, I am not an expert on Prince William County. But since discussion had touched on the Prince William County real estate tax rate, I thought it would be relevant to point out that Prince William County joined Alexandria, Arlington, City of Fairfax, Falls Church, Herndon, Leesburg, Manassas, Manassas Park, Town of Vienna in adopting a meals tax, making it the latest county in Northern Virginia to use a meals tax to diversify its tax base.
Anonymous
jvmorgan wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Interesting. But does PWC have equitable taxes, fees, services based on addresses or zones?


Again, I am not an expert on Prince William County. But since discussion had touched on the Prince William County real estate tax rate, I thought it would be relevant to point out that Prince William County joined Alexandria, Arlington, City of Fairfax, Falls Church, Herndon, Leesburg, Manassas, Manassas Park, Town of Vienna in adopting a meals tax, making it the latest county in Northern Virginia to use a meals tax to diversify its tax base.



Is this suggesting meal tax in lieu of real estate tax? I find that hard to believe. I pay mover 2x in taxes from 2018. They raise it every year beyond a merit increase at work. No way they don’t hit us again with more.
jvmorgan
Member Offline
Anonymous wrote:
jvmorgan wrote:
Again, I am not an expert on Prince William County. But since discussion had touched on the Prince William County real estate tax rate, I thought it would be relevant to point out that Prince William County joined Alexandria, Arlington, City of Fairfax, Falls Church, Herndon, Leesburg, Manassas, Manassas Park, Town of Vienna in adopting a meals tax, making it the latest county in Northern Virginia to use a meals tax to diversify its tax base.


Is this suggesting meal tax in lieu of real estate tax? I find that hard to believe. I pay mover 2x in taxes from 2018. They raise it every year beyond a merit increase at work. No way they don’t hit us again with more.


“Diversify” not “supplant.”

Your post highlights an important advantage of a meals tax: it is based on what your household chooses to spend (which even with inflation, is unlikely to spike significantly beyond what your household would likely spend given your household’s income) rather than on the market value of your home (which can fluctuate for reasons outside your control). Jurisdictions that have a meals tax also appear to modify their real estate tax rates more slowly. So the combination of a real estate tax and meals tax would likely create more predictably, not just for the Fairfax County in terms of revenues, but also for households in terms of costs.
Anonymous
jvmorgan wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
jvmorgan wrote:
Again, I am not an expert on Prince William County. But since discussion had touched on the Prince William County real estate tax rate, I thought it would be relevant to point out that Prince William County joined Alexandria, Arlington, City of Fairfax, Falls Church, Herndon, Leesburg, Manassas, Manassas Park, Town of Vienna in adopting a meals tax, making it the latest county in Northern Virginia to use a meals tax to diversify its tax base.


Is this suggesting meal tax in lieu of real estate tax? I find that hard to believe. I pay mover 2x in taxes from 2018. They raise it every year beyond a merit increase at work. No way they don’t hit us again with more.


“Diversify” not “supplant.”

Congratulations for your home’s rapid appreciation. We remodeled (pretty much rebuilt) our home in 2016. That pretty much immediately doubled our tax bill. But we figured it was worth it to have a home that could comfortably accommodate our family (turned out to feel like a really nice investment when COVID-19 hit and we were spending a lot of time at home).


I posted about IB and FX tax rates per zones. FX meals tax would not diversify but rather supplant existing taxes. Breaking out the 1 penny for stormwater is now over 3 pennies and a separate line item from the residential RE tax rate. A presentation about 10 years ago by Corbett Sanders on repurposing Old Mount Vernon HS [pre her tenure on SB] had 1 very interesting comment/question from Penny Gross-D-Mason BOS. That was about instituting a special tax district to pay the bonds. Reston CC build with bond money was the impetus for that special tax district. My property taxes pay for bond $ on the Wst Potoamc expansion which as per McKay had Mount Vernon open capacity as the elephant in the room.

2 examples of how a residential RE property owner in for example Herndon or Reston is paying extra inequitably. Note some Magisterial Districts have county operating trash/recycling. Current annual cost for that is a few hundred less than if you were a new private hauler customer [less stable service] with a contract between you and the hauler. ARL contract/s are with private haulers and the county bills the property owner.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:The real savings will come when they stop AAP centers.


There will be some transportation savings. A bigger issue is that immigration laws in our country are broken and don’t work. We can’t afford to keep taking more and more students who don’t speak English. The costs of educating ESOL and other disadvantaged students are sky rocketing and the real estate taxes associated with them don’t come remotely close to supporting any of the expenses.
jvmorgan
Member Offline
Anonymous wrote:
I posted about IB and FX tax rates per zones. FX meals tax would not diversify but rather supplant existing taxes.


It would be up to the Board of Supervisors to determine whether a Meals Tax would both diversify any partially supplant real estate taxes or merely diversify tax revenues. I really don’t know what they will do, if anything, once they get County Executive Hill’s report. If you have ideas, definitely bring them to the attention of your supervisor and/or the chair (or even the County Executive if you think they would be material to his report on how to diversify the tax base).
Anonymous
If Kyle McDaniel wants to use his School Board seat as a platform primarily to argue for a meals tax and the election of other Democratic candidates to office (see his Twitter page), that's fine with me. What I don't like is the all-Democratic School Board using kids as bargaining chips by unleashing Reid to propose unwanted county-wide boundary changes and then arguing they are compelled for budgetary reasons to do so, when that's clearly not the case.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:If Kyle McDaniel wants to use his School Board seat as a platform primarily to argue for a meals tax and the election of other Democratic candidates to office (see his Twitter page), that's fine with me. What I don't like is the all-Democratic School Board using kids as bargaining chips by unleashing Reid to propose unwanted county-wide boundary changes and then arguing they are compelled for budgetary reasons to do so, when that's clearly not the case.


Seems like taxes go up every year. More than my raise if I even get one. There shouldn’t be a tax decision without a vote.
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