| TIA |
| I mean, what do you expect someone to say? Yes, there’s an earthquake risk. Could happen tomorrow, could happen 100 years from now. From a geological standpoint, those odds aren’t all that different. |
How high is the risk? |
Is your google broken? 72% chance of a big one in the next 25 years or so. https://pubs.usgs.gov/fs/2016/3020/fs20163020.pdf |
No need to be rude. Was hoping to hear from people living in the area. Thanks for link. |
| For people living there - they have decided that it was worth the risk. |
I live in SF and my google gives the same stats as PP's. You're literally asking about facts you can look up. Perhaps you meant to ask a different question. |
| OP, most commercial and newer residential construction in CA is built to survive an earthquake. You can research what areas are safer in a quake (not built on landfill or a steep hill). I don't think SF is unsafe. |
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Unless you're VERY liberal (like legitimately don't mind stepping over human poop in the streets and having your 2 year old play with dirty syringes at the park), I wouldn't recommend a move to SF anymore. That's far more of an issue than the earthquake risk. And that's from someone who used to love the city. I moved to SoCal and it's getting bad here too. Oh, and also understand that they decriminalized property crime. Someone can run off with your purse and they won't even pretend to care about it. Look at videos on YouTube of thefts and muggings in streets that I know used to be really nice streets.
Oh, and when the earthquake does hit, they will not have the money to deal with it. Period. They are NOT spending money how they should be. |
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It’s a risk that’s worth enduring for the splendor of the area. That said, if you want to be as safe as possible, make sure of the following:
Your house is on Franciscan bedrock, or at the least, not in a high liquefaction zone, Your house is not on a slide. Tip: don’t trust the publicly available maps. Make friends with a soils / civil engineer who has worked in the area for a long time. They have the best maps, constructed from their years of experience and their colleagues’ knowledge. Your house has a good foundation. I cannot BELIEVE the number of people I know in SF who spent 2 million on a Victorian with a brick foundation! If you want to be VERY safe, buy a single story house on a flat lot (with good soil/ bedrock). Buy outside the high risk wildfire zones. Buy outside the dam and reservoir inundation zones: some have not been retrofitted yet. Buy near a major evac route in case of post quake fire. Buy in an area with undergrounded power lines to lower post quake fire risk. Do not buy a gorgeous MCM house with huge floor to ceiling windows. |
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Listen to The Big One podcast.
https://www.npr.org/podcasts/674580962/the-big-one-your-survival-guide |
I wasn't looking for statistics. I was looking for what other PPs have posted. |
Thanks so much! Very helpful post. |
| Thanks for everyone's responses |
| I’d be more worried about the fires. |