How few coronavirus cases before schools reopen?

Anonymous
There aren’t that many people in DC who have coronavirus. The numbers actually look pretty good. How low does the caseload have to go before in-person schooling begins full time? Has the city said?
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:There aren’t that many people in DC who have coronavirus. The numbers actually look pretty good. How low does the caseload have to go before in-person schooling begins full time? Has the city said?


Why do you keep posting this? The numbers are getting worse. Why is that so hard to understand?
Anonymous
There’s about 80 people in the hospital with coronavirus though the city doesn’t break out how many are not from here. It includes people from elsewhere who are transferred to DC hospitals.
Anonymous
Teachers union going to say zero.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:There aren’t that many people in DC who have coronavirus. The numbers actually look pretty good. How low does the caseload have to go before in-person schooling begins full time? Has the city said?


Why do you keep posting this? The numbers are getting worse. Why is that so hard to understand?


No reopening anywhere until we've had 36 months of no new cases AND everyone in the country has been vaccinated, including every last homesteader in rural Alaska. To suggest anything less means you're OK with killing your kids and teachers!
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:There aren’t that many people in DC who have coronavirus. The numbers actually look pretty good. How low does the caseload have to go before in-person schooling begins full time? Has the city said?


Why do you keep posting this? The numbers are getting worse. Why is that so hard to understand?


This. We would need a decline or low plateau. I don't know the right number but the trend matters a lot.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:There aren’t that many people in DC who have coronavirus. The numbers actually look pretty good. How low does the caseload have to go before in-person schooling begins full time? Has the city said?


Why do you keep posting this? The numbers are getting worse. Why is that so hard to understand?


No reopening anywhere until we've had 36 months of no new cases AND everyone in the country has been vaccinated, including every last homesteader in rural Alaska. To suggest anything less means you're OK with killing your kids and teachers!


That’s obviously absurd. Grocery stores are open. Are you killing grocery store workers so you can buy paper towels?
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:There aren’t that many people in DC who have coronavirus. The numbers actually look pretty good. How low does the caseload have to go before in-person schooling begins full time? Has the city said?


Why do you keep posting this? The numbers are getting worse. Why is that so hard to understand?


The numbers have gotten worse in the last couple days but the overall numbers are very low.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:There aren’t that many people in DC who have coronavirus. The numbers actually look pretty good. How low does the caseload have to go before in-person schooling begins full time? Has the city said?


This is something Bowser needs to answer.
Anonymous
It's pointless to look at hospitalizations yesterday when you're trying to make decisions 2 months away.
To inform schools issues in September you need to look at September's hospitalizations/total cases/transmission rate,
which are informed by total cases in mid-August,
which are informed by number of daily new cases today,
which are climbing fast.
Anonymous
The whole epidemic started with one person infected, probably November 2019. That's all it took to infect the whole world.

This is a very infectious disease.
Anonymous
You can't have schools that open and stay open unless they can be open without cases and transmission. That's just the hard truth. So I would say if you have community spread (meaning they can't trace and contain each outbreak) and an infection rate more than 2% or so, you won't be able to have schools that STAY open. Because they'll just be closing all the time for quarantine as they find out about positives among students and teachers.

There are a lot of countries that achieved that goal, but we're not among them. We have community spread and high infection rates everywhere.

There's also a scenario where we could have rapid, widely available testing and so if you had a positive case in a school you could test everyone else, isolate the positives, and move on. But this is America and so don't hold your breath. With a week turnaround on testing, there's no way you could keep a school open when you had cases. It's not like you could say sure, just keep coming to school while we wait for your tests.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:Teachers union going to say zero.


It will never go to zero. Coronavirus will be with us forever, even after vaccines are widely available. It will become like bird flu — something that’s always there but eventually people will stop caring.
Anonymous
Of all the people who have ever had coronavirus in DC, since this all began, only four percent have been children.

I’ve never understood why we have such extreme policies regarding that four percent — ie closing schools — and so much looser policies towards the 96 percent. Why are gyms open and not schools? It’s like we’re focusing on the wrong thing.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:You can't have schools that open and stay open unless they can be open without cases and transmission. That's just the hard truth. So I would say if you have community spread (meaning they can't trace and contain each outbreak) and an infection rate more than 2% or so, you won't be able to have schools that STAY open. Because they'll just be closing all the time for quarantine as they find out about positives among students and teachers.

There are a lot of countries that achieved that goal, but we're not among them. We have community spread and high infection rates everywhere.

There's also a scenario where we could have rapid, widely available testing and so if you had a positive case in a school you could test everyone else, isolate the positives, and move on. But this is America and so don't hold your breath. With a week turnaround on testing, there's no way you could keep a school open when you had cases. It's not like you could say sure, just keep coming to school while we wait for your tests.


This. This is not a school failure or a local failure or a teacher or parent or administrator failure. This is a failure of response and leadership and coordination at the federal level, and the bad options that we are faced with now is a direct result of the federal failure. The mayor and DCPS are not blameless for their response, but they are trying to navigate a path among bad options, just as parents and teachers are.
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