Controversial Prof Galloway predicts which colleges will thrive, survive or perish due to Covid

[Anonymous]

I am not endorsing this, but it is interesting:

https://www.profgalloway.com/uss-university?utm_source=newsletter&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=NMNM20200717

See his detailed spreadsheet here

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1CUs3HrqstC2oV3CF3_di4yW6Y4K_CIrUJNEEHCCKo7A/edit#gid=0

[Anonymous]

Thanks for posting. Based on my knowledge of a few of the colleges, at least their ratings make sense.

[Anonymous]

Eh. The blogger seems a bit of an angry wacko to me.

[Anonymous]

I'm not really sure what purpose this serves to current students unless the school is in the perish category.

[Anonymous]

Interesting that the author only chose a certain number of schools, implying that he chose somewhat ''known'' ones. That tells me that the really struggling ones (a couple I can think of) were so unknown they didn't make the list.

[Anonymous]

This dude is Wako cookoo insano.

[Anonymous]

He’s spot on. Tough medicine for people to swallow

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Interesting that the author only chose a certain number of schools, implying that he chose somewhat ''known'' ones. That tells me that the really struggling ones (a couple I can think of) were so unknown they didn't make the list.

He ranked 436 universities. There are over 2,500 four year colleges in the US

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:I'm not really sure what purpose this serves to current students unless the school is in the perish category.

+1

And even then, if a student is already attending a "perish" school, well, colleges can take a while to die off, and a student looking at returning this fall isn't likely to withdraw based on this one "perish" prediction.

I admit somewhat shamefacedly that, despite telling myself not to fall down this rabbit hole, I did check DC's LAC and it was listed as "thrive." I don't want to have some random professor's information dump affect me, but I still felt a bit of relief. Grasping at straws of hope these days, I guess....

[Anonymous]

It's more of a service to the parents and a warning. Most of these schools might survive, but you may need a plan B mid degree if they don't. It happens.

[Anonymous]

If fall ends up online, I could see the dominos start to fall. Online education just doesn't compare to in person, and a lot of schools don't have the name brand that would be the only reason to pay the extra money. Can't imagine spending the money on a SLAC when it's online and I say that a loyal alum of one.

[Anonymous]

I find this helpful. I have a junior being recruited for a non-revenue generating sport and I’ve been trying to predict which schools are most likel to cut sports. I have my own spreadsheet going, but it’s interesting to see what he has included

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:If fall ends up online, I could see the dominos start to fall. Online education just doesn't compare to in person, and a lot of schools don't have the name brand that would be the only reason to pay the extra money. Can't imagine spending the money on a SLAC when it's online and I say that a loyal alum of one.

I am an alum of a SLAC (now at 2,000 students) and a faculty member at a large private university (10,000 undergrads). I agree that online doesn't compare to face-to-face. But all online education is not the same. Even online, the SLAC is likely to provide more individualized attention than a large private. And the average faculty member at an SLAC is likely to put more effort into teaching than the average faculty member at a large private, whether the teaching is face-to-face or online. It's a matter of how incentives are structured by the administration when it comes to tenure/promotions/raises as well as self-selection by academics into different types of academic institutions.

[Anonymous]

I question the methodology, but overall it is clear that most of his Struggle and Perish colleges are in real trouble. Multiple colleges have closed in New England in just the last two years. Multiple others are in real jeopardy. That's also true of huge numbers of colleges in the midwest. Many of the SLACs that are in the soup were originally founded as boarding schools (high schools) or as women's junior colleges (used to be quite commonplace) that were given permission to award degrees. They have no financial cushion, they provide no services, their co-curriculars are zip-zero. There is no question but that a number of his Struggle and Perish colleges will definitely shut down, many within a year or two.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:I question the methodology, but overall it is clear that most of his Struggle and Perish colleges are in real trouble. Multiple colleges have closed in New England in just the last two years. Multiple others are in real jeopardy. That's also true of huge numbers of colleges in the midwest. Many of the SLACs that are in the soup were originally founded as boarding schools (high schools) or as women's junior colleges (used to be quite commonplace) that were given permission to award degrees. They have no financial cushion, they provide no services, their co-curriculars are zip-zero. There is no question but that a number of his Struggle and Perish colleges will definitely shut down, many within a year or two.

Asking seriously -- why "in a year or two" particularly? Specific ones--?

(No dog in this fight, DD's college is fine, just wondering about the basis of the time frame you're predicting.)