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You're missing the facts that RAE isn't about coaches, scouts, teams picking the best players at early ages. It's about them picking the most physically mature at early ages. The truly best players may be late developers who have to struggle against early developers. That's why when those good late developers don't quit, their percentage of representation is high in professional rankings (also in the academic studies on RAE) |
What evens out? How does the q3 and q4 representation go back up to even when they have dropped out of the sport? |
Great point! |
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Let's remember folks, most of the RAE studies are done looking at truly elite levels of youth sports.
Top level academies and youth national teams. We're trying to put our subpar pay-to-play, in same bucket. |
Obvs can’t go back in time and make them not quit. And this isn’t anything about RAE. I don’t know anything about it so I can’t opine on it. This is simply my opinion based on being around both when we were SY back and the day and having kids also playing in BY system. So obvs talking about players that are on the teams now. Even out meaning the current q3/q4 who don’t stay with their current team once the switch is made to SY, will move to their new (“younger”) team that will have some or most of the current q1/q2 on it. More or less. Some of each may not make the cut on the new SY team and will have decisions to make, same as always (bc people regardless of dob get the boot). All I am saying is I think this switch to SY won’t be that big of a deal to anyone so don’t know why anyone would be worried either way. I’m not pro BY. I’m not pro SY. I’m pro just decide already do everyone can shut up and move on to the next fake crisis in with soccer. |
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Captain Obvious here.
Approx. 2,150,000 kids play youth soccer at an annual cost of $1,188 a year. The disparity in cost from tax supported rec soccer to competitive travel soccer is obviously significant. If those numbers are anywhere close to accurate, then Americans spend over $2,500,000,000 on this game. Just my opinion, but neither trapped players, nor college coaches recruiting preferences, nor national team development matter that much in the decision-making process. Getting a bigger slice of that $pie or growing the size of that $pie is far and away the primary determining factor in what ECNL, or any other league elects to do regarding SY vs BY. How the leagues choose to spin their decisions may not reflect that $ is behind each decision. Sources https://www.aspeninstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/11/2022_SoP_National_CostsPlay.pdf https://projectplay.org/youth-sports/facts/participation-rates |
It's just a shifting and shuffling, no? Every team is going to gain and lose players based on birth months, not talent and skills. Some will be better for it, some worse, most will be a wash. Since only your kid's individual development should truly be your concern, none of it really matters. |
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Oops
MLS Next just made a collaboration announcement for tournaments and development and coaching education etc with other leagues, but not ECNL |
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Ok so is our take away that USYS, AYSO, and US Club are going to go to school year in 2026?
So in my case it means my Q4 2014 won't actually play U13 in 2026, and instead will likely play U12 again? I read the transcript of the podcast and it seems like it basically it a done deal but they always stop just short of saying "we are definitely changing" |
| It’s a done deal. 2026. The lame duck gap year is stupid though. |
That was also my takeaway from the podcast. And that in late February or early March much of the information for the new plan for each (USYS, AYSO, and US Club) will be posted online. Seems USYS, AYSO, and US Club are in agreement and aligned together, and some of the final items for each of them to iron out are the cut off date for SY teams (8/1 vs 9/1) and how to handle crossover events (events where BY teams play against SY teams). This is not my commentary on whether the change is good or bad. Just a perception of the state of things based on the podcast (for those who did not listen to it). |
exactly |
MLSN needs to establish themselves in every state to compete with ECNL, this looks like a path towards that. |
The top league MLSN needs to compete with a secondary league? |
In the podcast they said they pushed the age change back until 2026 because several member organizations (leagues? Clubs? or whatever) who were for the change to SY said they needed the change pushed back to Fall 2026. I actually thought the podcast was helpful. The first topic they discuss is the age change, and you can listen to it at 1.25 speed, so it doesn’t take much time to hear their discussion on the topic. |