In short, one year. Hearst is too small to handle all of the capacity needed. Hearst only has two classrooms per grade. The incoming grades are about half in bound already, so at a maximum it can only relieve Murch of 1 class per grade, or half a class from Murch and half a class from Janney. It helps, and the new boundary will do that - I predict the new proposed boundary as currently drawn will fill Hearst's incoming classes with students from inside the boundary in the first year after the switch, at which point it is effectively 100% IB with set asides (even though the upper grades will still have a high percentage of OOB students who are entitled to remain there, as they should be, with OOB numbers dwindling as each class graduates). But both Murch and Janney will remain overcrowded even after that shift. Murch and Janney each have more than twice the number of classes as Hearst with 5 classes per grade each in the incoming classes from second grade down (which means they will be 800-student schools by 2017 -- that is a known fact based on current enrollment, not a prediction -- and neither can or should be built that big). Even if Murch can be built to be as big as or bigger than Janney, which won't happen until 2017, you still have more overflow than Hearst can absorb between the two schools. So the big questions is: can Murch be built big enough to accommodate 700-800 students? A feasibility study is underway to answer this question. The hope with the new boundaries seems to be that shifting some of Murch to Lafayette as well will manage these current, known numbers. The problem is that the numbers show no signs of slowing down, enrollment keeps exceeding predictions, and new multi-family buildings keep getting approved for construction. A new school should be on the table before any more housing development is approved in the area. Also, based on the size of the current second grade classes of the feeder schools in the new boundary, Deal's incoming class starting in 2018 will have 24 classes. That's a lot of 6th graders. By 2020 that makes 72 classes or about 1650 students in one middle school. And that is if there is NO growth in today's classes of K-2 (wishful thinking). That also does not include accommodating the new requirements for at risk set asides, which I support, but which do not seem to have been adequately thought through from a numbers standpoint. Based on these numbers, the proposed changes have begun to, but have not fully addressed the capacity needs in this area. |
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13:04 - Holy shit.
Solution: (I'll go ahead and say it) A new Ward 3 Elementary school. |
Nah, overcrowding is one way to provide incentive for OOB to find a less crowded option. Some of us prefer an honors class of 6 to an honors class of 30. |
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I may be reading this incorrectly, but if you look at the data provided in some of the DME supporting docs, it looks like there are currenly 104 IB students that could attend Hearst (obviously many choose to attend private). And, under the DME proposal with the new boundary the projected number of IB kids eligible to attend is 140. The school can hold 325 students. Which begs the question, why not expand the Hearst boundary even further rather than turn Janney and Murch into trailer parks?
"School, Boundary, Neighborhood-Level Data Sheet Including Boundary Change Rationales" http://dme.dc.gov/node/885242 |
A suggestion to do that was vociferously opposed during the DME process. The Janney boundary change was reversed completely in the Advisory Committee recommendation and Murch did some sort of land exchange with Hearst that I don't think had much of an impact. |
Because Murch and Janney families prefer their trailer parks over Hearst. The battle cry was basically, "Anything BUT Hearst." Simple. |
| Seems short sighted on the part of the Murch and Janney parents. All it would take is another 100 IB kids and Hearst would be then envy of the city. Small classes and brand new facilities. |
It's extremely short sighted. Hearst's population is similar to Eaton and Stoddert--solidly middle/upper middle class across all races. Score wise, Hearst should be on par with these schools, but in the last five years went through an expansion from an early childhood center to a PK-5 and simultaneously suffered through multiple principal changes. The consistent rise in test scores is evidence that the dust is finally settling. If the DCCAS were continuing, the school was on track to hit Reward status next year. It's clear that Hearst is going to follow the same pattern as Eaton and Stoddert, whether it is majority IB or not. It's a good little school. Always has been. It just had to work through some growing pains. Bottom line: In two years, I doubt if even the Murch and Janney families will be anti-Hearst. |
Your query is not inflammatory at all, simply not that smart. Check out the actual data in the actual reports, not through this random chat. |
| Well, Eastern is considered over-crowded this rate. |
Yes, but in those 10 years the neighborhood has changed a lot. There's been a minor league stadium. A giant public housing complex pulled down and rebuilt as mixed-income. The EPA buildings have become apartments. 172 buildings have been knocked down on the SE side of the area alone since 2003, according to http://www.jdland.com/dc/demolished-bldgs.cfm and lots more density has occurred. The fact that Bowen was closed a decade ago doesn't mean that the neighborhood is unable to sustain Amidon-Bowen and Van Ness. The schools are both likely to have some OOB kids, but that's totally fine. |
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Why doesn't DCPS move the autism classrooms out of Murch and to a less crowded school? It looks like they offer dedicated classrooms throughout the District, but not at every school.
http://dcps.dc.gov/DCPS/In+the+Classroom/Special+Education/Autism+Program+and+Resources/Schools+with+Dedicated+Autism+Classrooms |
Since Hearst is much smaller and doesn't have the facilities for the older kids, it seems to me that it's best use is as an early childhood center. Why not just make it a PK School for Janney, Murch, Lafayette, Eaton, etc,.... thus freeing up space for K-on through the rest of the grades. Nobody loses their true neighborhood school later, and since PK is optional anyways (many of us don't even get a spot at our inbound school), it's not like somebody gets short changed. Now maybe this idea is completely stupid, but I just wish the DME spent more time at looking at creative boundary changes/maps in their propsoals vs. turning the city into a lottery system. They only floated 1 option for the specific school boundaries. Their really should have been a couple more on the table once they decided that we were still having an in-bound system with the set asides. |
You are reading it incorrectly. Those numbers are a snapshot of PK3-5 public school students at a given point in time (i.e., already enrolled at Hearst or Hearst/Murch for the 140 figure). I'm certainly no expert, but I see a few issues that make those numbers not quite predicitive anyway: 1. Hearst has no preK3, so you aren't capturing in that number the in bound preK3 kids who are in private nursery school and will go to Hearst for PreK4 or K. It also fails to show the distribution of those students across the grades, which is what will matter in the boundary shift due to grandfathering of families in their current schools. 2. You have to remember to account for grandfathering when you try to figure out how much space Hearst actually has available. Don't make the mistake of saying there are 40 OOB seats in 5th grade this year (or whatever) so Hearst can take 40 kids from Murch's 5th grade and displace the 40 OOB kids at Hearst -- it can't. The numbers that matter here are how many K seats are available at Hearst to give to families at the edges of Hearst's boundaries, and the answer is about 25 seats. The inbound participation rate in the PK4 and K are up around 50% now. So never mind how many kids were in bound and using public school whenever that snapshot was taken, the current Prek class had very few spots open (about 20), and so the K class coming up in the year of the new boundary is highly likely to be almost entirely IB and will remain so until they are 5th graders. Those 20-25 spots barely puts a dent in the problem at Janney and Murch, which have about 225 kindergarteners between them when the K capacity of the schools as built is 140. Hearst may be the "best little school in DC" but it can't solve all of our problems. |
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The 20-25 slots open at Hearst may not make a huge dent in the overcrowding nearby, but you cannot argue that the tiny boundary changes made to the Hearst/Murch boundary will even move 20 kids there. About 6 blocks total moved and there can't possibly be 20 pre-K age kids in those 6 blocks.
In short, the Hearst/Janney/Murch boundaries could, and should, have been moved a lot more to reduce at least a bit of the overcrowding. Maybe not the full solution, but a piece of one, and I really think they missed an opportunity there. |