Shoulda could woulda. Leagues picked August to July as an a group and aren't allowing playing down (other than MLSN1). Grade was not under discussion based on released deliberations. Teams in DMV aren't forcing kids to play on grade and are limiting playing up. Around here, the discussion is over. |
I love that graph. It says August kids have a much better outcome being the oldest rather than the youngest even if a reasonable amount of the period studied was under BY and not all under SY. |
I like that graph because it shows that rae doesnt apply in America. The authors option was p2p soccer made players birth month evenly distributed across the year. |
Internally ECNL leadership has been telling DOCs to play Aug birthdays on their grade in school team. Instead of being sneaky control freaks they should communicate this externally so parents can plan accordingly. |
Except the author assumed BY was in place for this data when it switched in 2017 from SY ... "Unlike most European and South American countries, the US youth development structure is based on a “Pay-to-Play” model, which relies heavily on financial compensation from the players. In other words, it is a LOT more expensive to play for a youth team in the US than most other countries. The large yearly financial costs can deter many children from joining youth teams. So, while the US also uses the calendar year to determine age groups for youth players, the inevitably smaller pool of children willing/able to pay for youth soccer may cause the more balanced distribution we have witnessed above." Such a huge confounder. Of course Aug would be big in the data. It was the oldest month before 2017 and most pros would be have played youth in that time peroid! Use your brain instead of being love with what you think it says! |
That's not even, dude. August births have about a 25 percent higher chance of playing pro soccer compared to June births. And Jan births have a similar advantage over Dec births. The advantage is less pronounced than foreign leagues because the US graph has both SY and BY time periods but anyone in their right mind would take the minimum 25 percent greater chance to go pro as the oldest rather than being younger in an age bracket. With younger kids in an age group quiting soccer at higher rates. The smart money is on being the oldest in an age group. May, June and July just got shafted and Jan, Feb and Mar just had their free ride removed. |
I guess not all ECNL clubs got or agree with the memo ... This club -- Sporting Blue Valley which offers MLSN and ECNL in Kansas - from page 15 of their presentation: "School Grade is Irrelevant: It is much easier to consider the new age-group placement as relative to the August 1st cutoff and is not tied to their school grade level (whether they have been held back or are ahead)." Page 19 "Can players play up a grade level? SURVEY - Playing Up SBV will retain the same policy we’ve always had: A player may play up an age group only if they make the top team in that older division. ❖ Exceptions: Exceptions are rare and reserved for specific Goalkeeper situations or to combine two small player pools to form a viable team. Why we aren't delaying the changes: ❖ We have chosen to "rip the Band-Aid off" rather than kick the can down the road. ❖ While we could artificially keep current teams together by moving everyone to an older age group, we would eventually be forced to fix it. ❖ We believe it is better to realign correctly now. This avoids years of confusion and temporary fixes, ensuring every player is on the correct long-term development path immediately" https://storage.googleapis.com/msgsndr/YNEbnN...173966b1e3b3b9c2.pdf |
Well if true (and it isn't) clubs in DC area not listening. They are following the more public ECNL advice saying playing up should only be for those that could dominate an age group up. |
It is true whether you choose to believe it or not. |
Even if true, they'll still be misaligned players from other months. You can never truly fix it unless you do GY. |
And weird for them to target August births but ignore September and October. Just not believable especially when there isn't an accepted way to collect and verify grades across the country and certain ECNL teams would be at a disadvantage based on their school cutoffs. Explains why no proof has been given. Seems like a I heard from a guy who wanted rather than a thing that actually occurred. |
If everyone looked at their kids MLS Next team or ECNL team roster right now, none of them would show August birth month as most represented Go ahead |
August birthdays is a colloquialism used for all players that are a grade up in school but an grade down in the SY eligibility window of 8/1-7/31. You cant go through every possible configuration every time when discussing August birthdays. |
The dataset used was pro players. |
You do know that soccer is switching from BY to SY, right? |