2023 Boys HS lacrosse outlook

Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:If rankings have any correlation to college commits, here is the list:

1. Georgetown Prep - 15
2-4. Gonzaga/Landon/Dematha - 10
5-8. Bullis/SJC/SSSA/PaulVI - 9
9. STA - 6
10. St. Andrews - 5
11. Episcopal - 4
12. Potomac - 3
13-14. Good Counsel/Heights - 2


They don’t.


There is some correlation. How good the program they committed to are may matter as much as overall number. But even with just the total numbers people would be surprised if for example Gonzaga or Landon with 10 lost to Good Counsel or Heights with 2.


I think it is also the quality of the commitment. SJC has players ranked in the top 100 over all some of the others do not. If Dematha has an extra D3 player on the roster it will not mean they can beat the top teams. I think you could break them down in tiers.

Tier One: GTP, Bullis, SJC, Gonzaga
Tier Two: Landon, PVI, Dematha, SSSA, STA
Tier Three: The rest
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:If rankings have any correlation to college commits, here is the list:

1. Georgetown Prep - 15
2-4. Gonzaga/Landon/Dematha - 10
5-8. Bullis/SJC/SSSA/PaulVI - 9
9. STA - 6
10. St. Andrews - 5
11. Episcopal - 4
12. Potomac - 3
13-14. Good Counsel/Heights - 2


They don’t.


There is some correlation. How good the program they committed to are may matter as much as overall number. But even with just the total numbers people would be surprised if for example Gonzaga or Landon with 10 lost to Good Counsel or Heights with 2.


I think it is also the quality of the commitment. SJC has players ranked in the top 100 over all some of the others do not. If Dematha has an extra D3 player on the roster it will not mean they can beat the top teams. I think you could break them down in tiers.

Tier One: GTP, Bullis, SJC, Gonzaga
Tier Two: Landon, PVI, Dematha, SSSA, STA
Tier Three: The rest


Does Tier One have the strongest 2025/2026 classes?
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:If rankings have any correlation to college commits, here is the list:

1. Georgetown Prep - 15
2-4. Gonzaga/Landon/Dematha - 10
5-8. Bullis/SJC/SSSA/PaulVI - 9
9. STA - 6
10. St. Andrews - 5
11. Episcopal - 4
12. Potomac - 3
13-14. Good Counsel/Heights - 2


They don’t.


There is some correlation. How good the program they committed to are may matter as much as overall number. But even with just the total numbers people would be surprised if for example Gonzaga or Landon with 10 lost to Good Counsel or Heights with 2.


I think it is also the quality of the commitment. SJC has players ranked in the top 100 over all some of the others do not. If Dematha has an extra D3 player on the roster it will not mean they can beat the top teams. I think you could break them down in tiers.

Tier One: GTP, Bullis, SJC, Gonzaga
Tier Two: Landon, PVI, Dematha, SSSA, STA
Tier Three: The rest


Does Tier One have the strongest 2025/2026 classes?


Who really cares about 25/26 classes? Rarely does more than one or two players make an impact in those grades. If a team is relying on freshman and sophomore contributions they are not in Tier one by default.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:If rankings have any correlation to college commits, here is the list:

1. Georgetown Prep - 15
2-4. Gonzaga/Landon/Dematha - 10
5-8. Bullis/SJC/SSSA/PaulVI - 9
9. STA - 6
10. St. Andrews - 5
11. Episcopal - 4
12. Potomac - 3
13-14. Good Counsel/Heights - 2


They don’t.


There is some correlation. How good the program they committed to are may matter as much as overall number. But even with just the total numbers people would be surprised if for example Gonzaga or Landon with 10 lost to Good Counsel or Heights with 2.


Exactly, it's the seniors and juniors who will make the biggest impact.Teams with the deepest benches will likely have few '25/'26 players on their varsity teams.

I think it is also the quality of the commitment. SJC has players ranked in the top 100 over all some of the others do not. If Dematha has an extra D3 player on the roster it will not mean they can beat the top teams. I think you could break them down in tiers.

Tier One: GTP, Bullis, SJC, Gonzaga
Tier Two: Landon, PVI, Dematha, SSSA, STA
Tier Three: The rest


Does Tier One have the strongest 2025/2026 classes?


Who really cares about 25/26 classes? Rarely does more than one or two players make an impact in those grades. If a team is relying on freshman and sophomore contributions they are not in Tier one by default.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:If rankings have any correlation to college commits, here is the list:

1. Georgetown Prep - 15
2-4. Gonzaga/Landon/Dematha - 10
5-8. Bullis/SJC/SSSA/PaulVI - 9
9. STA - 6
10. St. Andrews - 5
11. Episcopal - 4
12. Potomac - 3
13-14. Good Counsel/Heights - 2


They don’t.


There is some correlation. How good the program they committed to are may matter as much as overall number. But even with just the total numbers people would be surprised if for example Gonzaga or Landon with 10 lost to Good Counsel or Heights with 2.


I think it is also the quality of the commitment. SJC has players ranked in the top 100 over all some of the others do not. If Dematha has an extra D3 player on the roster it will not mean they can beat the top teams. I think you could break them down in tiers.

Tier One: GTP, Bullis, SJC, Gonzaga
Tier Two: Landon, PVI, Dematha, SSSA, STA
Tier Three: The rest


Does Tier One have the strongest 2025/2026 classes?


Who really cares about 25/26 classes? Rarely does more than one or two players make an impact in those grades. If a team is relying on freshman and sophomore contributions they are not in Tier one by default.


Exactly, it's the seniors and juniors who will make the biggest impact.Teams with the deepest benches will likely have few '25/'26 players on their varsity teams.
Anonymous
Do all of the top teams have a FO and top Goalie?
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:If rankings have any correlation to college commits, here is the list:

1. Georgetown Prep - 15
2-4. Gonzaga/Landon/Dematha - 10
5-8. Bullis/SJC/SSSA/PaulVI - 9
9. STA - 6
10. St. Andrews - 5
11. Episcopal - 4
12. Potomac - 3
13-14. Good Counsel/Heights - 2


Bullis is the best-coached team in the area. They may not have a number of commitments such as Gonzaga or Georgetown Prep, but they will be the favorite in both games this Spring.

While college commits is a good indicator, it's not the only indicator of success. The quality of the coaching staff is a factor that should be taken into consideration.

I.e. Georgetown Prep is not well coached, they shouldn't have swept through the IAC last spring with the level of talent they rolled out.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:If rankings have any correlation to college commits, here is the list:

1. Georgetown Prep - 15
2-4. Gonzaga/Landon/Dematha - 10
5-8. Bullis/SJC/SSSA/PaulVI - 9
9. STA - 6
10. St. Andrews - 5
11. Episcopal - 4
12. Potomac - 3
13-14. Good Counsel/Heights - 2


They don’t.


There is some correlation. How good the program they committed to are may matter as much as overall number. But even with just the total numbers people would be surprised if for example Gonzaga or Landon with 10 lost to Good Counsel or Heights with 2.


I think it is also the quality of the commitment. SJC has players ranked in the top 100 over all some of the others do not. If Dematha has an extra D3 player on the roster it will not mean they can beat the top teams. I think you could break them down in tiers.

Tier One: GTP, Bullis, SJC, Gonzaga
Tier Two: Landon, PVI, Dematha, SSSA, STA
Tier Three: The rest


Does Tier One have the strongest 2025/2026 classes?


Who really cares about 25/26 classes? Rarely does more than one or two players make an impact in those grades. If a team is relying on freshman and sophomore contributions they are not in Tier one by default.


I disagree. I think you can have 25s that are impact players. Maybe not 26s. Some of the 25s are holdbacks anyway so it is completely plausible that they will be impact players this spring.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:If rankings have any correlation to college commits, here is the list:

1. Georgetown Prep - 15
2-4. Gonzaga/Landon/Dematha - 10
5-8. Bullis/SJC/SSSA/PaulVI - 9
9. STA - 6
10. St. Andrews - 5
11. Episcopal - 4
12. Potomac - 3
13-14. Good Counsel/Heights - 2


They don’t.


There is some correlation. How good the program they committed to are may matter as much as overall number. But even with just the total numbers people would be surprised if for example Gonzaga or Landon with 10 lost to Good Counsel or Heights with 2.


I think it is also the quality of the commitment. SJC has players ranked in the top 100 over all some of the others do not. If Dematha has an extra D3 player on the roster it will not mean they can beat the top teams. I think you could break them down in tiers.

Tier One: GTP, Bullis, SJC, Gonzaga
Tier Two: Landon, PVI, Dematha, SSSA, STA
Tier Three: The rest


Does Tier One have the strongest 2025/2026 classes?


Who really cares about 25/26 classes? Rarely does more than one or two players make an impact in those grades. If a team is relying on freshman and sophomore contributions they are not in Tier one by default.


I disagree. I think you can have 25s that are impact players. Maybe not 26s. Some of the 25s are holdbacks anyway so it is completely plausible that they will be impact players this spring.


Ok. Name the school and position that is impacted by a 2025 that is projected to be at least all conference this year? It may happen but this is still pre season. I think the tiers are accurate based on upper class players.
Anonymous
Landon’s best attack and middie was a soph last year.
Anonymous
Sjc attack and GZ attack last year were Sophs.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:If rankings have any correlation to college commits, here is the list:

1. Georgetown Prep - 15
2-4. Gonzaga/Landon/Dematha - 10
5-8. Bullis/SJC/SSSA/PaulVI - 9
9. STA - 6
10. St. Andrews - 5
11. Episcopal - 4
12. Potomac - 3
13-14. Good Counsel/Heights - 2


They don’t.


There is some correlation. How good the program they committed to are may matter as much as overall number. But even with just the total numbers people would be surprised if for example Gonzaga or Landon with 10 lost to Good Counsel or Heights with 2.


I think it is also the quality of the commitment. SJC has players ranked in the top 100 over all some of the others do not. If Dematha has an extra D3 player on the roster it will not mean they can beat the top teams. I think you could break them down in tiers.

Tier One: GTP, Bullis, SJC, Gonzaga
Tier Two: Landon, PVI, Dematha, SSSA, STA
Tier Three: The rest


Does Tier One have the strongest 2025/2026 classes?


Who really cares about 25/26 classes? Rarely does more than one or two players make an impact in those grades. If a team is relying on freshman and sophomore contributions they are not in Tier one by default.


I disagree. I think you can have 25s that are impact players. Maybe not 26s. Some of the 25s are holdbacks anyway so it is completely plausible that they will be impact players this spring.


Ok. Name the school and position that is impacted by a 2025 that is projected to be at least all conference this year? It may happen but this is still pre season. I think the tiers are accurate based on upper class players.


Bullis has strong 25s
Anonymous
Madlax Media is coming out with their DMV HS Boys Lax rankings this week. 1-5 have not been released yet, but 6-20 are as follows

6. STA
7. Landon
8. Paul VI
9. Episcopal
10. SSSA
11. Lake Braddock
12. Madison
13. Heights
14. Good Counsel
15. Potomac
16. Churchill
17. Riverside
18. Robinson
19. St. James
20. St. Andrews

What do you think the top 5 will be and in what order?
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:Madlax Media is coming out with their DMV HS Boys Lax rankings this week. 1-5 have not been released yet, but 6-20 are as follows

6. STA
7. Landon
8. Paul VI
9. Episcopal
10. SSSA
11. Lake Braddock
12. Madison
13. Heights
14. Good Counsel
15. Potomac
16. Churchill
17. Riverside
18. Robinson
19. St. James
20. St. Andrews

What do you think the top 5 will be and in what order?


Cabbell will rank his 19-year-old seniors aka DC Dawgs (primarily Prep kids) as the #1 team in the land. Bullis #2. Gonzaga #3. SJC #4. #5 I don't know

Anonymous
Dematha must be #5
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