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A switch to SY (or even a switch to both SY and some staying BY) will increase the chances that Q3/4 players get to play college soccer and decrease the chances for Q1/2 because of the shifting effects of RAE for players based on their birth month. |
Ironically, USSF said RAE would be better addressed with the change to birth year 8 years ago and of course it wasn't. This was discussed on an ECNL podcast. But if the leagues have the choice of birth year and school year and different ones get picked, it can create a possibility for RAE to be reduced as kids can pick the one that suits their situation. |
Ok, but nobody cares but you. After u14 RAE doesn't matter. |
Are you trying to guess that additional RAE does not occur after age 13 or are you trying to guess that RAE from previous years wears off like it never happened and goes away forever? |
Yes, I'm saying that after u14 everyone has to grow up and RAE no longer matters. Either you're in it to win at u14 or you don't matter. Sorry to be the one that breaks the truth to you. |
No…it doesn’t. You’re mistaking chance / probability for distribution. It’s the same mistake the kooky SY warriors are making about their individual circumstances. |
It actually was improved at the higher competitive levels, but it was minimally related with the age cutoff. |
So your saying the kids that left soccer in the prior years because they were on the younger side of the age group come back to playing soccer? Seems far fetched. |
Nobody leaves soccer because they’re ok the younger side. They leave because it’s not fun, or it’s too hard, or their parents / coach are awful despite their having fun. They don’t leave because they’re a few months younger than another kid. And the ages in which the majority of kids quit are before soccer gets serious. The vast vast majority of youth soccer players play grassroots / rec level. Don’t get stuck thinking the ECNL / GA / MLSN bubble is all of soccer. |
No, RAE still exists after U14, https://members.believeperform.com/the-relative-age-effect-in-sport/#:~:text=The relative age effect refers,and become professional soccer players. |
Sorry to be the one that breaks the truth to you |
Ok, maybe it is more accurate to say the sport quit on the younger players in an age group rather than the other way around. And coaches quiting on younger players by picking older players is reinforcing RAE. |
Yes, college soccer players and the other sports, being more likely to be born in months where they were older competitors when they were younger was completely based on complete chance. RAE exists even if you don't want it to be. |
Truth? Denying RAE in youth sports considering all the research is like being anti science, unwilling to admit to climate change or anti vaccine. |
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Are you all willfully stupid?
Nowhere do SY proponents say RAE gets fixed. Now if there are two top leagues, one SY and one BY it is theoretically possible for that to help but no one has any idea what's going to happen All the SY change impacts trapped players and younger kids - addressing them to increase participation overall in the sport |