Sadly, it can and probably will happen. That tiny AU Park colonial you paid $1M will be worth about $800k overnight. What are you going to do about it? |
Uhh, what? Isn't that paying taxes, of which schools with at-risk kids get more? |
It's inevitable that DC scraps the system of neighborhood schools and moves to an all-lottery system with sibling and at-risk preferences. It's the only manageable way to drive toward more equity and inclusion, so that everyone has an equal chance at the better schools. A number of the key decision-makers in the Chancelor's office and OSSE want to do this. It's just a question of when the mayor feels that the political moment is ripe. |
So never, then? Got it. Doing this would cripple DCPS for good and decimate DC's tax base, and the mayor knows it. |
Think of the traffic! |
They tried this in San Francisco and it only made segregation worse, to the point where the city got rid of its city-wide lottery system. From the New York Times, last April: "What happened in San Francisco suggests that without remedies like wide-scale busing, or school zones drawn deliberately to integrate, school desegregation will remain out of reach." https://www.nytimes.com/2019/04/25/us/san-francisco-school-segregation.html DC is never, ever going to try wide-scale busing. It might make David Alpert's head explode to find out that more vehicles would be put on the streets, and the GGWash crowd would throw one of their patented hissyfits. And it will be next to impossible to get creative with school boundaries without creating zones that would make a Maryland gerrymanderer blush. |
What makes the "better schools" better? Most of these "better schools" are serving high populations of advantaged kids who are performing at or above grade level. An all-lottery system would fundamentally change this and will also alter the pride and investment that families have in the "better" neighborhood schools. An all lottery system isn't the way for everyone to have an equal chance at the better schools. |
I've had 3 kids at Janney (last one is still there). It's a "better school" because 95% of the inboundary kids (and frankly most of the out-of-boundary kids) come from households of two parents with advanced degrees and high level jobs who are incredibly invested in their kids. The soil isn't magic and the teachers aren't either. They're good but they have a remarkably easy job compared to teachers across the park. They're teaching kids who arrived at school already enriched up the wazoo from birth. Aside from kids with special needs most of the kids are at grade level or well beyond. This is not meant as disparaging towards the teachers but in the realm of teaching this is about as easy as it gets. |
When Bowser leaves office in January 2023. Right after she approves the school boundary plan. She just endorsed Bloomberg, so it looks like she has her post-Mayoral career ready to go. |
it might mean more schools. DCPS opens new schools on regular basis. Some schools are under enrolled. The distribution can always be adjusted in bounder rezoning. |
If they want to move to lottery, they need to do some version of what Seattle used to do (note that Seattle ended this a number of years ago). It was a lottery with guarantees that you could access one of a set of four neighborhood elementary schools but the option to lottery into some specialized schools. It reduces the uncertainty for families that want neighborhood schools but provides incentives to spread high SES kids throughout the city in the form of progressive education models that are citywide. This provided space for more kids in the successful neighborhood schools plus a good number of high SES kids attending the specialized schools.
The problem with a city wide lottery is that nobody wants it, not even the families that you all think would benefit most from it. I went to the boundary reivew meetings, there was zero support for all lottery outside the extreme school reform advocates without children in the system. |
Honestly, I’ll probably still move to the suburbs. I initially thought I’d “wait and see” what would happen to the schools. But I can’t stomach the idea of trying to get two kids to two possibly two different schools somewhere (anywhere) in the city, and then try to make my way to work by 8 AM. Even losing $200K on my house, the math still works in favor of a move when you consider the cost of private school tuition, plus the fact DC doesn’t have a viable in-state college option. |
Isn't San Francisco a non-boundary, lottery school system? Also, isn't San Francisco one of the most expensive housing markets in the country? Despite the horror of your dc potentially attending school on the other side of the city and stepping over human feces on your daily commute to drop them off at said school and being accosted by beggars, real estate values don't seem to have taken a hit. |
Because San Francisco has armies of single, childless coders pulling down $250-300K per year in their 20s who will pay $4K/month for a tiny 1BR apartment. And once they exercise their options or IPO, they become overnight millionaires. We don't have that kind of job market in DC. In fact, the flight to the suburbs once kids arrive is even worse in SF than in DC. |
Cause you rich privileged kids are never disruptive??? Try again. |