Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Assuming you can put 20% down on a house, a 420,000 loan at ~5.5% interest over 15 years is $3,400/month just on the principle. Add in another monthly $150 for insurance and $500 for taxes (which is a very low estimate in any locality that isn’t cheap) that is over 4k/month mortgage.
A family making 100k/year is bringing home maybe 7k/month tops after taxes and health premiums and very modest retirement contribution.
Let's get the spelling and arithmetic right.
A 20% down payment on a $500,000 house is $100,000, leaving a $400,000
principal loan balance.
Now 5.5% of $400,000 is $22,000/year or almost $2k/month. A 15-year amortizing mortgage payment would be $3,268.33/month.
Online paycheck calculators show that a a pre-tax annual salary gives a paycheck of around $6,600/month.
The Bureau of Labor Statistics shows that the average family spends around one-third of budget on housing. One-third of the paycheck would cover interest, but it would take half the paycheck to cover a 15-year payment. I have not even considered taxes, insurance, and maintenance.
Here is the tricky part. I figure the long-run real interest rate is around 3%. With higher interest rates, your house tends to appreciate at the rate of inflation. But there is also taxes, insurance, and maintenance. So I think the real cost of home ownership is around 6% per year, or .5% per month. That is $2,500/month on a $500,000 house, or 38% of of the $6,600 paycheck. That is getting tight. D.C. is a high-tax area, both income and property taxes.
Theoretically, this homeowner might afford the house in a low-tax area if the homeowner does a lot of the maintenance and is "house poor". This will almost certainly require digging into savings to cover insurance and property taxes in addition to the mortgage. In the long-run, the house appreciation will repay it, but you should plan on living frugally for a decade.