Fact or fiction?

Anonymous
A friend of mine told me the reason most doctors will not start fertility treatments until 1 year is that each month of trying to conceive actually increases your chances. I would think each attempt is an independent event. Does anyone know if this is actually true?
Anonymous
You are correct. Each month is independent. If over the course of a year, the circumstances don't align for you to become pregnant, then statistically it is more likely that there is an underlying problem needing to be addressed.
Anonymous
Most insurance companies will not cover any treatment or testing until you have been trying for at least a year (if you are under 35). You have a 20% chance of getting pregnant each month, with an average couple taking 5-6 months to get pregnant.
Anonymous
If you have a 20% chance of getting pregnant each month, then you have an 80% chance of NOT getting pregnant each month. So if you want the probability of getting pregnant within 6 months, it would be 1-(0.8)^6 = 74%, and for 12 months it is 1-(0.8)^12 = 93%.
Anonymous
16:35 here. The funny face that came up is suppose to be 0.8 (zero point eight). It is 1 minus 0.8 to the X power, where X is the number of months.
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