forgot to mention, we also have $600k in cash, so total $3.6mil. I still wouldn't stop contributing yet because now a days, it's easy to get laid off. |
This might be the dumbest comment I've ever seen in this subforum. |
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This is OP!! My question is whatever 1mil would grow to in 15 years, is that enough? I am thinking maybe our retirement savings is strong and at that 1 mil mark I can focus on paying off the mortgage faster and cash-flow the kids’ college instead of putting money in a 401k.
One spouse will have a small pension (about 10 yrs public) and as a millennial, I do not even factor social security into the equation! Gah! |
If you’re a millennial it seems like you’re jumping the gun a little bit trying to make plans based on being “on track to” hit the 1 million mark at 50 in this volatile economic climate. Why not wait and see where you actually are 7+ years from now and then plan accordingly. |
I was thinking the same thing. Maybe 8% of the replies addressed the actual question. We have similar thoughts to the OP. We are 53 and 56, with ~$3m in invested savings and an HHI of ~$500k. We're continuing to put ~$100k each year into tax advantaged accounts, because (i) we are savers, (ii) it's tax advantaged, and (iii) it will accelerate our retirement age, and (iv) we live just fine now. But if either of us suffers a job reversal (not unheard of in this day and age) we have the option to stop contributions altogether, and let the appreciation take us the rest of the way to our retirement goals. |
7% is not what I'd consider a moderator growth if you mean inflation-adjusted! |
But OP only has $1mil at 50. That's a different calculus. If OP said they had $3mil, I'd say, probably, depending on the expenses. But, the contribution also decreases your tax liability. So, don't forget that part. OP could still contribute and pull out from the retirement account to pay for college if they have an IRA. You can always get a loan for college, then pay it back if it turns out that you have the cash later on, but no one is going to give you a loan to retire. |
First of all, it sounds like she isn't even 50 yet especially if she's a millennial, so she probably doesn't have $1M right now. If she is 50 with $1M, $4M at 65 would take 9.7% annual returns on average, which implies all stocks right up until retirement, which is not what most people would feel comfortable with. Plus the $4M would be nominal, so it's not really the right number to think about now. |
| It depends on your expected expenses. I’ve had two family members retire at 63 and 65 recently who have 400-600k in retirement accounts and qualify for social security - one has a paid off house and the other owes around 200k. They can’t spend lavishly but can enjoy life on their terms comfortably. |
Doesn’t the s&p500 historically return around 7% adjusted for inflation? |
| OP- it sounds like you don't have $1million yet (you say you are on track for it) and you have college to pay for and other things. You need to be savings for all of these things at once. This means managing a budget. Share what you spend now and we can help. |
| I assume most or all of that money is in a 401K so you have to pay taxes when you withdraw it. Also you need some extra to protect against the market being down when you enter retirement. Basically you should keep saving. That said if you have some unexpected expenses you can decrease your savings for a bit if you need to. |
| That’s not enough for 2 people. What will your property taxes be? |
I agree with you that even the expensive assisted living facilities leave a lot to be desired, but if you think the difference is slight, you are insane. My dad has been in both and the difference is incredible. The care he received at a Medicare funded facility was disgusting. Literally because they avoided cleaning/bathing him. |
Sure but I don't consider using the historical growth rate of 100% stocks all the way through 65 to be moderate. That makes assumptions I don't think most individuals or financial advisors would be comfortable with. It's not the percentage that's "wrong" per se, it's that the assumption requires a very risky asset allocation, so you shouldn't rely on it when thinking about stopping contributions. Plus I'd rather look at Monte Carlo simulations or even just model some reasonable worst case scenarios to stop saving for retirement altogether. |