Generative AI set to affect 300 million jobs across major economies

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Don't study English, Art or 'pre-law'.

Or law, or IT, or accounting, or business.

Service industries--education, nursing will probably be the last to go.

CS isn't safe unless you're top-tier because AI will program itself etc.

Government/sociology/psychology majors might be really needed to figure out policy to manage the impacts of this!

Vast majority of professors, teachers, tutors, teaching assistants etc. will be redundant and not necessary anymore. We have better, customizable virtually free 'teacher' available 24/7 anytime anywhere for almost any subject.

Yet everyone complained so much when classes went on-line during COVID.

That was before the Generative Pre-Trained Transformers as in before electricity, PC, Internet and after electricity, PC, Internet.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Don't study English, Art or 'pre-law'.

You do realize that many jobs in CS/tech will also become redundant in the future? Plummers will probably have better job security than software developers....

Who pays the plumbers? If the middle class and upper middle class are all joining breadlines, the customer base for a lot of trades starts to vanish

UBI becomes essential for the elites/establishment to maintain some semblance of demand when millions of jobs are gone very soon or the 'alternative' as in revolution/rebellion will happen and the 'elite' will not let the 'alternative' occur and thus subsistence level UBI is no longer optional.

Haven’t some well known tech millionaires/billionaires said as much? But the US will probably address it like it has climate change; ignoring it until it becomes too late.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:My kid tried to use an AI to help with CompSci. Useless. She doesn't know how to ask the right questions. The AI spit out something that COULD have been right but wasn't. And she doesn't know enough to be able to tell the difference. It will be a long, long time before AI replaces any developers.

I can imagine some grunt work getting sped up but the extra QA/QC time will be a problem for a while. Possibly forever. No chance anyone would load AI generated code into a family sedan, a microwave, or a spaceship.

..or your pacemaker or your brain implant or your self-driving car (in future). Software is entering facets of life where it was unimaginable a few years back. With that comes the need for quality, reliability, security, accuracy, fault-tolerance etc etc. Anybody who talks about AI replacing CS haven't seen a multi-million line codebase, or a service that runs on a 10,000 node cluster, and the complexity they entail. There is a huge difference between solving a coding problem on Leetcode and running an enterprise app with 10,000 services. AI is going to help CS engineers to move up the value chain by taking a lot of repetitive or simple tasks, and this may cause some entry levels jobs to vanish. But AI replacing CS is so far-fetched that it is beyond comical.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Don't study English, Art or 'pre-law'.

You do realize that many jobs in CS/tech will also become redundant in the future? Plummers will probably have better job security than software developers....

Who pays the plumbers? If the middle class and upper middle class are all joining breadlines, the customer base for a lot of trades starts to vanish

Exactly. Are these plumbers working for free?

+1

How do people not understand that?

If you fire all the lawyers, say goodbye to a lot of housekeepers, lunch spots in downtown areas, and much more.

NP. People don’t need housekeepers and lunch spots…they do need plumbers, electricians, doctors, nurses, etc.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Don't study English, Art or 'pre-law'.

You do realize that many jobs in CS/tech will also become redundant in the future? Plummers will probably have better job security than software developers....

Who pays the plumbers? If the middle class and upper middle class are all joining breadlines, the customer base for a lot of trades starts to vanish

Exactly. Are these plumbers working for free?

+1

How do people not understand that?

If you fire all the lawyers, say goodbye to a lot of housekeepers, lunch spots in downtown areas, and much more.

I think that’s why people are sounding the alarms, no? Concern about the whole thing collapsing?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:My kid tried to use an AI to help with CompSci. Useless. She doesn't know how to ask the right questions. The AI spit out something that COULD have been right but wasn't. And she doesn't know enough to be able to tell the difference. It will be a long, long time before AI replaces any developers.

I can imagine some grunt work getting sped up but the extra QA/QC time will be a problem for a while. Possibly forever. No chance anyone would load AI generated code into a family sedan, a microwave, or a spaceship.

https://www.wired.com/story/why-tesla-designing-chips-train-self-driving-tech/


Already happening

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Don't study English, Art or 'pre-law'.

Or law, or IT, or accounting, or business.

Service industries--education, nursing will probably be the last to go.

CS isn't safe unless you're top-tier because AI will program itself etc.

Government/sociology/psychology majors might be really needed to figure out policy to manage the impacts of this!

Vast majority of professors, teachers, tutors, teaching assistants etc. will be redundant and not necessary anymore. We have better, customizable virtually free 'teacher' available 24/7 anytime anywhere for almost any subject.

Using that logic, why are we being charged $80,000 a year for college? May as well get rid of colleges, too.

Importance of college degrees and even the prestige of universities will decrease over time and degrees may not be necessary anymore. Something else, some certification in AI expertise level will replace degrees in the near future.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Don't study English, Art or 'pre-law'.

You do realize that many jobs in CS/tech will also become redundant in the future? Plummers will probably have better job security than software developers....

Who pays the plumbers? If the middle class and upper middle class are all joining breadlines, the customer base for a lot of trades starts to vanish

UBI becomes essential for the elites/establishment to maintain some semblance of demand when millions of jobs are gone very soon or the 'alternative' as in revolution/rebellion will happen and the 'elite' will not let the 'alternative' occur and thus subsistence level UBI is no longer optional.

I personally can’t wait for UBI.
I don’t need much but I love my free time and energy to do things I am interested in, not the ones my boss tells me to do!

[Anonymous]

So how do you guide your kid in picking a major?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:I think the ones in danger are mediocre “specialists” that can be replaced by AI which will be checked by a truly outstanding versatile experienced professional. It’s the death of dumb people in all areas.

And everyone (at least on this website) thinks of themselves as truly outstanding vs. mediocre.

Well I don’t. I will be happy with UBI!

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:My kid tried to use an AI to help with CompSci. Useless. She doesn't know how to ask the right questions. The AI spit out something that COULD have been right but wasn't. And she doesn't know enough to be able to tell the difference. It will be a long, long time before AI replaces any developers.

I can imagine some grunt work getting sped up but the extra QA/QC time will be a problem for a while. Possibly forever. No chance anyone would load AI generated code into a family sedan, a microwave, or a spaceship.

https://www.wired.com/story/why-tesla-designing-chips-train-self-driving-tech/


Already happening

Whoa. You don't even understand what you posted. Not the same thing. Not even a little bit.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Don't study English, Art or 'pre-law'.

Or law, or IT, or accounting, or business.

Service industries--education, nursing will probably be the last to go.

CS isn't safe unless you're top-tier because AI will program itself etc.

Government/sociology/psychology majors might be really needed to figure out policy to manage the impacts of this!

Vast majority of professors, teachers, tutors, teaching assistants etc. will be redundant and not necessary anymore. We have better, customizable virtually free 'teacher' available 24/7 anytime anywhere for almost any subject.

Using that logic, why are we being charged $80,000 a year for college? May as well get rid of colleges, too.

Importance of college degrees and even the prestige of universities will decrease over time and degrees may not be necessary anymore. Something else, some certification in AI expertise level will replace degrees in the near future.

I actually expect the opposite at the highest level--college will become even more important--something generative outside the AI system.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:My kid tried to use an AI to help with CompSci. Useless. She doesn't know how to ask the right questions. The AI spit out something that COULD have been right but wasn't. And she doesn't know enough to be able to tell the difference. It will be a long, long time before AI replaces any developers.

I can imagine some grunt work getting sped up but the extra QA/QC time will be a problem for a while. Possibly forever. No chance anyone would load AI generated code into a family sedan, a microwave, or a spaceship.

Written communication is not great either. Passable. Not sure how it handles anything beyond a short piece of maybe 400 or 500 words or less.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Don't study English, Art or 'pre-law'.

You do realize that many jobs in CS/tech will also become redundant in the future? Plummers will probably have better job security than software developers....

Who pays the plumbers? If the middle class and upper middle class are all joining breadlines, the customer base for a lot of trades starts to vanish

UBI becomes essential for the elites/establishment to maintain some semblance of demand when millions of jobs are gone very soon or the 'alternative' as in revolution/rebellion will happen and the 'elite' will not let the 'alternative' occur and thus subsistence level UBI is no longer optional.

I personally can’t wait for UBI.
I don’t need much but I love my free time and energy to do things I am interested in, not the ones my boss tells me to do!

Pretty sure UBI will only cover the basics. Like food and shelter.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:My kid tried to use an AI to help with CompSci. Useless. She doesn't know how to ask the right questions. The AI spit out something that COULD have been right but wasn't. And she doesn't know enough to be able to tell the difference. It will be a long, long time before AI replaces any developers.

I can imagine some grunt work getting sped up but the extra QA/QC time will be a problem for a while. Possibly forever. No chance anyone would load AI generated code into a family sedan, a microwave, or a spaceship.

Written communication is not great either. Passable. Not sure how it handles anything beyond a short piece of maybe 400 or 500 words or less.

But what written communication needs to be great? As we speak, ChatGPT is creating real estate listings from MLS databases, creating company blog/twitter posts, creating advertising copy, etc. How much of this needs to be great? Yet, this is happening right now...so in some R/E office an admin is either fired or not hired, who may have spent much of their day writing R/E listing summaries.

Also, you can train these models. So, the first work product isn't great, but you have it refine it several times...and now in 10 minutes you have a perfectly usable work product that may have taken 1/2 a day to previously write.