TJ drop outs under the new admission standards

Anonymous
The rumor is that almost 50 9th graders have left.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Maybe this was what PP was trying to share but the FCPS monthly membership reports indicate that, as of January 2022, TJ's enrollment was down 11 students from the beginning of the 2021-22 school year.

Over the same periods in 2020-21, 2019-20, 2018-19, and 2017-18, TJ's enrollment was down 4, 2, 11 and 6 students, respectively.

So more kids leaving TJ than in 3 or the past 4 years, but no more than in one of those years (2018-19).



The more relevant statistic should be among 9th graders. Among 9th graders enrollment fell (as of January 2022) by 8 students.

Over the same periods in 2020-21, 2019-20, 2018-2019, 2017-18 TJ's enrollment was down 1, 1, 5 and 1 among 9th graders.

In other words, kids leaving TJ is quite alarming on a statistical level. This will probably widen as the months go by.


The best STEM high school in the nation is also offering remedial algebra classes. Can't make this up.

https://defendinged.org/incidents/new-algebra-review-sessions-for-students-at-no-1-high-school-as-higher-rate-of-freshmen-students-drop-out/

Anonymous
sue those criminals!
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:The rumor is that almost 50 9th graders have left.


#fakenews
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:The rumor is that almost 50 9th graders have left.


I am OP. I DID NOT POST THIS.

I have asked to please WAIT (ie - table the discussion) until March 7. Why can’t everyone respect that ?

How ever, PP’s rumor is the same one I heard. But again - please wait until the 7th of March.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:Maybe this was what PP was trying to share but the FCPS monthly membership reports indicate that, as of January 2022, TJ's enrollment was down 11 students from the beginning of the 2021-22 school year.

Over the same periods in 2020-21, 2019-20, 2018-19, and 2017-18, TJ's enrollment was down 4, 2, 11 and 6 students, respectively.

So more kids leaving TJ than in 3 or the past 4 years, but no more than in one of those years (2018-19).



OP here.

It is now the 7th, and the new data should be out.

Will this years withdrawals hold, at 11? (Tying for 2018-19 ?).

Or is the actual number closer to the rumored 50 withdrawals this in-person school year?
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Maybe this was what PP was trying to share but the FCPS monthly membership reports indicate that, as of January 2022, TJ's enrollment was down 11 students from the beginning of the 2021-22 school year.

Over the same periods in 2020-21, 2019-20, 2018-19, and 2017-18, TJ's enrollment was down 4, 2, 11 and 6 students, respectively.

So more kids leaving TJ than in 3 or the past 4 years, but no more than in one of those years (2018-19).



OP here.

It is now the 7th, and the new data should be out.

Will this years withdrawals hold, at 11? (Tying for 2018-19 ?).

Or is the actual number closer to the rumored 50 withdrawals this in-person school year?


So a net of 14 extra students this year (+64-50)?
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Maybe this was what PP was trying to share but the FCPS monthly membership reports indicate that, as of January 2022, TJ's enrollment was down 11 students from the beginning of the 2021-22 school year.

Over the same periods in 2020-21, 2019-20, 2018-19, and 2017-18, TJ's enrollment was down 4, 2, 11 and 6 students, respectively.

So more kids leaving TJ than in 3 or the past 4 years, but no more than in one of those years (2018-19).



OP here.

It is now the 7th, and the new data should be out.

Will this years withdrawals hold, at 11? (Tying for 2018-19 ?).

Or is the actual number closer to the rumored 50 withdrawals this in-person school year?


According to the monthly membership reports that you're referencing, that data has not been updated yet. Perhaps it will overnight. That 11 number, though, refers to the entire school, not just the freshmen class. The current number as of January for the Class of 2025 is 8.

Have to remember, though, that the Class of 2025 is about 12% larger than previous classes. Additionally, we're talking about a small enough sample size across the board that those numbers won't be statistically significant unless they jump significantly.
Anonymous
Here's an important link that may help to clarify a few things:

https://schoolprofiles.fcps.edu/schlprfl/f?p=108:108:5882865729226::NO:0_CURRENT_SCHOOL_ID,P0_EDSL:300,0

According to these numbers, of the eleven students who have left TJ during this school year, 8 of whom are freshmen....

6 are Asian
4 are Hispanic
1 is white
ZERO are Black

No breakdown of which ones are the freshmen, but still very enlightening.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:Here's an important link that may help to clarify a few things:

https://schoolprofiles.fcps.edu/schlprfl/f?p=108:108:5882865729226::NO:0_CURRENT_SCHOOL_ID,P0_EDSL:300,0

According to these numbers, of the eleven students who have left TJ during this school year, 8 of whom are freshmen....

6 are Asian
4 are Hispanic
1 is white
ZERO are Black

No breakdown of which ones are the freshmen, but still very enlightening.


Checkmate
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:Anyone know?

A family friend (who is the parent of a TJ graduate) told me many of the students admitted under the revised standards subsequently dropped out of TJ and returned to their base HS. She quoted a number.

Anyone know for certain?


Weird DC who is a freshman claims this is down this year.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Here's an important link that may help to clarify a few things:

https://schoolprofiles.fcps.edu/schlprfl/f?p=108:108:5882865729226::NO:0_CURRENT_SCHOOL_ID,P0_EDSL:300,0

According to these numbers, of the eleven students who have left TJ during this school year, 8 of whom are freshmen....

6 are Asian
4 are Hispanic
1 is white
ZERO are Black

No breakdown of which ones are the freshmen, but still very enlightening.


Checkmate


I hate it when people use facts to counter crazy right-wing propgaganda.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:Here's an important link that may help to clarify a few things:

https://schoolprofiles.fcps.edu/schlprfl/f?p=108:108:5882865729226::NO:0_CURRENT_SCHOOL_ID,P0_EDSL:300,0

According to these numbers, of the eleven students who have left TJ during this school year, 8 of whom are freshmen....

6 are Asian
4 are Hispanic
1 is white
ZERO are Black

No breakdown of which ones are the freshmen, but still very enlightening.


You might want to do percentages not absolute numbers if you’re trying to make some sort of point.
Anonymous
TJ DROPOUTS
(sept - jan)

2021-22
6 asian
4 hispanic
1 white

2020-21
4 asian

2019-20
1 asian
1 hispanic

2018-19
7 asian
1 black
1 hispanic
2 white

2017-18
6 asian
Anonymous
Asians accounted for 71% of drop outs over the last 5 years
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