Different. Stronger winds, storm surge is hard to compare because people inside new levees *should* be safe *if* they hold. People outside levees along that coast will die if they have not evacuated. |
Soon to be category 5
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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"> An extreme wind warning is in effect for Houma LA, Bayou Cane LA, Estelle LA until 10:45 AM CDT for extremely dangerous hurricane winds. Treat these imminent extreme winds as if a tornado was approaching and move immediately to an interior room or shelter NOW!. pic.twitter.com/epznSuFe1J — NWS New Orleans (@NWSNewOrleans) August 29, 2021</blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script> |
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It depends on the strength, track and the speed of the storm. If it tracks a little east of South Pass(the southern part of the Mississippi delta channel) it will push water up in to Lake Pontchartrain. The storm looks weaker vs Katrina with a small wind field, track looks a little west of the worst for New Orleans and speed look pretty good. Still lots of damage but there is not much west of the delta. |
Hopefully Biden handles this one better than Bush… |
This. You cannot compare Katrina to anything else because when Katrina passed, New Orleans was unscathed. Then the levees failed and the city flooded. Katrina was as much a man made disaster as a natural one. The levees were substantially upgraded and the city of new Orleans should be spared from the storm surge. There's still three major threat of flooding from rain, the wind, and there may not be power for weeks. But it still look very different than it did after Katrina assuming the levees hold. Everywhere outside the federal levee system should have evacuated. If not, they'll need a miracle. |
Hope is always a great strategy. Right up there with praying. |
Watching the coverage is eerie. We were in coastal Mississippi during Katrina. It was so awful. And it stayed awful for months. My prayers are with all those in the storm’s path. |
West eyewall is degrading somewhat, but we're too close to landfall to avoid a catastrophic event. |
Live cam at Grand Isle. Not sure how long it's going to stay up. Reports of 28 people hunkering down on the island - I hope they make it.
https://www.severestudios.com/storm-chasers/john.humphress2.html |
I promise you that Biden won’t be throwing paper towels at people, so it’ll be better than the last guy, at the very least. |
I was living in New Orleans when Katrina hit (grad student at Tulane). I evacuated to a friend's parents' house in Atlanta. We were watching the news the night that it hit and were all like "oh, not too bad!" and started to make plans to drive back the following afternoon. Then when we woke up that morning and turned the news back on and saw the destruction from the levee failures...we realized that wouldn't be happening for a long, long time. It's different this time. Like you said, the horrific effects from Katrina were largely due to crappy engineering of the levees (man made). With this one, the threat comes from the actual storm. It'll be bad, but I don't think on the scale of Katrina. We'll see. |
I remember that heartbroken feeling of waking up the next morning and learning that the levees had broken. |
https://www.htv10.tv/livestream?fbclid=IwAR1IRy4J_mBFVOtNhEbqTp2Br8bNH5TF5Xf7UH-tbp1dCyzufeZz8dTE0Kc
Another livestream from Grand Isle. |