I'm sure that this is true on average, but is not entirely consistent with what I've observed in our area. I'm familiar with the background of a lot of kids in the older age groups of DC United, Bethesda, and Baltimore Armour's DA, and a significant number of the kids who are starters at those programs and committed to good D1 schools were standouts when they were U9-U12 when we first encountered them. It was a lot easier back then to see a wide variety of kids over a long time span, because most ended up in NCSL gunning for D1, and then you'd play the same teams at the local tournaments, along with the Baltimore teams that would head this way for good competition. From our experience, the key is to find a good developmental coach rather than worrying about clubs when kids are little. You can also find, if you are lucky and/or do a lot of research, coaches who are talented at figuring out which kids have potential and who are excited to help them reach it. That sort of coach is not just stacking teams with big, strong, early maturers, but evaluating whether a kid has the kind of "it factor" that suggests they may become a real player. |
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In my experience there is no greater myth than the classic fall from grace U9/U10 superstar.
Yes, supposed lesser talented kids at those ages do tend to develop and in many cases catch up to the young superstar. But those young superstars still keep chugging along and developing themselves. Perhaps they lose a step in speed, or they are caught up in size and that is negated but they are still developing at their own relative pace and they usually remain quality competitive players as long as they stay interested. I know of very, very few young A team kids who ended up on a C team. I have known some who were perenial A team starters and lost that role but rarely their spot on the team. So, a B or C team player can work hard and often times catch or even exceed the young star in a couple of years but it is really rare for that young star to actually drop down to a C team level. All of the above is stated with the caveat of A team kids at high level competitive clubs. |
People really shouldn't worry too much about the percentage. |
We live in an era during which repetition is considered the path to boredom instead of the path to mastery. My own experience, when I was coaching girls in my area, was that the developmental stages that happen starting around 12 years of age have it such that a girl with great aptitude who was happy to move the ball on her own when she was 10 and 11 now needs social currency to make it happen so that FOMO (fear of missing out) doesn't get in the way. So, if we repackage their one on one training to be training with their favorite (and similarly capable) teammate, they are more enthused. The girl that was happy to watch an NWSL game on TV with her dad at the age of 11 now finds that to be uninteresting; but if you make it a viewing party with her favorite teammate's family, she watches with enthusiasm in order to comment in a way that makes her socially relevant to the gathering. And so on. My view is that the club provides a stage to perform on. A more successful club (i.e. stage that matters to more people and is watched with more frequency) is better than a rinky dinky one. But just lke the actor who doesn't work on memorizing and putting expression into "his lines" finds the big stage to be a source of potential embarrassment, so does the player who thinks it suffices to just go to practice and play in games. Thus, if a child responds well to going beyond the bare minimum by our helping them feel less isolated and more synchronized with like-minded players who want to stand out, I think it's worth our effort as parents to look into doing that. |
Many clubs don't demote A team players for other factors like team and club stability, psychology, etc. It does not mean that those kids are not falling behind to other clubs that do promote / demote. For these teams they may dominate the competition at U9 but no longer win games 10-0 against teams they used to. They no longer win tournaments but make the finals, etc. It's hard to see when your kid is on the club A team. |
That was a really good post. My daughter just turned 11, is already small, and wil be a late developer, so I know she's in for a tough few years. Right now she is that kid - loves watching games with us, happy to put in extra technical work on her own, etc.... - but your post has me thinking that I need to start finding ways to help her make those activities more social for her moving forward. Thank you. |
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Theat is true. Not every kid is genetically or mentally destined for a high level of soccer. There's nothing wrong with that either. It's kind of like not every kid will do AP classes. |