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To be fair, some people with very big 401ks have some luck. My wife for instance her company only matched in company stock. And a stock that has outperformed the last 20 years the stock market. So in her case no Warren Buffet just lucky did not work at Enron, Worldcom, Tyco, Lehman Brothers, Bear Sterns as would have lost her whole match.
Imagine if you worked at Google and they did match in employer stock how much you have if you worked there 10 years. |
PP here…you’re making a few incorrect assumptions. We are 43/42 yo. I said the combined value of our three types of accounts (401K, Roth 401K, & Roth IRA) was $5.5M. We were not privileged. Just smart in our investment decisions picking the right stocks early where we could buy many shares on the cheap that eventually went parabolic. The Roth IRA alone is worth over $3.5M. As soon as we made too much $ for direct Roth contributions we starting doing Backdoor Roths. Look up Peter Thiel and/or Ted Weschler for some inspiration. Their Roth IRAs are worth $5B+ and $264M+ respectively starting with the normal Roth/IRA contributions that everyone else could make early in their working lives. Does that fit your model? I’m guessing no. They are excellent investors. Unfortunately our Roth investments haven’t performed as well as theirs but we’re not complaining. |
See prior post. Just exceptionally well performing individual stock picking in our Roth IRAs mostly and maxing out 401Ks and Roth 401K. |
Spot on. SP500 returns are for the masses who want to go with the flow. If you want to outperform you have to take risk. Most of the posters on here are not clever investors. |
You’re assuming we invested in the S&P500. Your assumption is incorrect. All it takes is a lot of due diligence, investing in what you know, and yes some luck to outperform the S&P500 by a huge margin. |
Actually a lot of people outperform Warren Buffett on a percentage basis. You just don’t hear about them in the financial media and if they’re like me they keep it quiet. |
Once again, this poster assumes people only invest in the S&P500. You can outperform the market (by a lot) by investing in other things dependent on your knowledge and risk tolerance. 401Ks have limited investment options but regular IRAs and Roth IRAs have many more investment options. Have to get away from that S&P500 mindset if you want to outperform. |
Is it luck or is it knowledge of a particular sector, extensive due diligence (not just reading a bunch of articles), investing skill, etc. |
They outperform by being lucky. Most get their butt kicked. |
Every study has shown that in almost all cases it boils down to luck. But it's hard to assess when the only thing you are doing is hitting a buy or sell button. The only people I know who actually think they can beat the stock market lack self awareness in a big way. |
They also don't come here to brag when their "one special trick" stops working (because it was just luck or most likely completely made up in the first place). Don't fall for the FOMO, as is the case every time this comes up, if they could continually beat the market, they wouldn't be doing their day job. |
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Spouse and I both have this option, and we did it for a few years. At some point, our pre-tax retirement investments got uncomfortably high and now we just do the 457b (easy to use for early retirements) and mega backdoor Roth and a regular taxable account (for possible 2nd property… or whatever).
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New poster, but your confidence in basic arithmetic misplaced. During the covid crash my DH did a big 401k roll over and put 80% of our combined account into Xom at $35/share. it’s at 120 now and pays about $4 a share in annualized dividends that we reinvest. we have completely stopped contributing to our 401k because it has essentially run away all on its own. We capped the xom at ~30k shares and that pumps ~120k/yr into our 401k. I know it’s difficult for you to grasp, but many people don’t care to waste money on safe index funds, especially not when they are young. |
So, to summarize, you’ve taken exceptionally stupid and poorly calculated risks, gotten lucky with random meme stock picking, and now you’re bragging on about your ill-gotten success with the hopes of some sort of pat on the back?!? Sounds like a typical basement-dwelling millennial operating with the safety net of a helicopter parent. Oh, BTW, there’s no such thing as a combined account for retirement savings. Could you be any more of an idiot? |
That's such an amazing strategy that absolutely no one in the investment game recommends it. Not people with decades of experience on Wall Street. Not economists from U of Chicago. Not quants educated at MIT. Nobody. |