| Two thoughts. First retirement is not a one way street but if you decide to reenter the labor market you will take a hit. Second, what’s your return assumption? Have you processed the fact that real interest rates are negative? What do you think that means? |
Of course. If we retire , it would be very difficult to find jobs in our field again as we are very specialized unless we are willing to move etc. We are right now invested very aggressively for our age and have most in equities. Obviously if the stock market takes a big hit in the next few years we’ll be singing a different tune. My plan is before we retire to move 1M into safe assets. In 2008, our portfolio dropped by half and as traumatic as that was it was only 400k or so at that time- now it would be a much different story. |
Until you get sick. |
Yeah.. Tell me about it. We prob. had close to $1.5m at that time and it dropped to less than $1M. Now at $7.5, a 50% drop would be terrible. In my spreadsheet model, I assume a 50% drop sometime during the current year so the projected beginning balance for the next year is adjusted down 50% (if it doesn't happen this year, I just push it out to next year in my model on Jan 1). I just got to the point where things don't turn negative over the next 50 years even with the 50% drop in the next year. I also assume 5% investment growth, 3% expenditure growth and try to model in all known large expenses - college, home remodel, car purchase every 10 years, etc. |
Isn't that the point of the 20K? To buy insurance so you can deal with the sickness? |
Groundhog Day again. Humble bragging. You want a real answer, consult a financial advisor. I think you can afford it. |
No you’re screwed bozo |
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Your current NW is $6.2M. You can retire now. Your money will keep making money - you don't need to leave kids $100M. Perhaps $50M is enough.
You can't live in fear of health scares. Ask me. Because if there is a health scare - you will be surprised at how little difference an extra million will make. My mom without health insurance (visiting) spent 1 night at the hospital, needed ambulance etc. The bill was $135k. All the money you painstakingly saved for 10+ years will go away in a flash. So many people get/will get sick in their 60s - start living now. We retired at 50 and 48 last year. My dad retired at 61 and passed at 64. DH's dad retired at 58 and passed at 75. |
DP. I also plan to retire at a similar time and with similar resources to OP. For healthcare, I plan to purchase on the ACA with a subsidy. I will try to structure my withdrawals to generate as little income as possible (take from post tax accounts). That way, my tax return shows very little earned income and therefore a greatly or 100% subsidized healthcare premium. I also have an HSA which I can use to pay premiums. |
| Depends if you get very sick and need care or not. That will run $200k a year. |
| Are you a fat boy OP? |
Pre 59.5 only at 55 from you last employer 401k anyhow. You should not touch it to 73. |
Let’s see I have three girls so chipping in three weddings, middle daughter wants to do grad school, younger daughter lawyer maybe. I got multiple cars. I can’t trade down houses as till kids married. Imagine me three single kids 27, 25 and 21 all bouncing back and forth home. Back and forth grad school then multiple weddings. And the cars and cell phone planes plus on your family medical plan. My aunts 55 year old complex is loaded with kids 18-30. They don’t allow kids under 18. But many parents retire and young adults still at home. I personally moved out for good at 29. I moved out at 23. Moved back 26 while in MBA then back out. My youngest sister stayed home till she married at 28. The cheap period is when kids. Heck my 80 year old MIL hosted Christmas a few weeks ago and fee 35 people and has 3 kids and 9 grandkids to buy gifts and visit. |
My son just graduated with a CS in 3 years and is working and living at home. He contributes $1k/month to household expenses while trying to save money for a down payment and waiting for his girlfriend to finish her MS. We expect our kids to foot their own bill for their weddings, we may gift them some amount, may be $10k. I don't get this antiquated customer of parents of the bride paying for a lavish wedding. |
4 % rule is not for early retirement, need to try 3/3.5%, Also no one can be sure about the market in the next 5 years, so instead of 6 million, it could be 4 million That with 3% rule would give you 120k per year.. also health care |