To be fair, there are some “mommies” who are pretty good at this stuff. But I wouldn’t ask random strangers on ANY forum for advice on something this large. That’s just asking for trouble. |
+1 I'm certainly no expert and have never owned or sold a business but even I know it's worth at least 8-10x net profit. |
| Is it anything at all tech related? If any recurring revenue, this is a BAD deal for you. |
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I'm an entrepreneur with a company in a similar situation. I get offers once every 1-2 months. I've been struggling with this also. As others have noted, there's no one right way to value a company -- it varies widely by industry. Also, right now there's a lot of capital and few opportunities, so things are getting bid up.
My hesitancy in selling is you cut off the "ATM" that is your business. There's a psychological barrier in how you spend (at least it would be for me) when you know next year you'll make more money, vs after selling when you're living off "savings" (my plan is not to have to work again once I sell). I worked with my financial advisors to come up with what number would allow us to sustain our current spending lifestyle, also account for big upcomgin spending (kids college), and how much we'd need in the bank to make that happen living off the investment returns. That's the number I'd be comfortable at selling for, once I'm ready. If I get more, great. If I don't, I'll work another yera and put anothre $1mln+ in my pocket. It's hard to cut off that gravy train. Besides all that, look closely at taxes as those are a BIG hit at these kinds of numbers. $10mln may end up being $5mln in your pocket after federal and state taxes (remember NIIT comes into play also at the federal level). |
Building and running a business is a separate discipline than mergers and acquisitions. People who can value a business also may not be able to run let alone build a business. Just because you are a home owner for 20 years doesn’t mean you would make a good realtor just because you lived in a house. |
| Are you nuts? Only 4-5x profit? Seriously that is absurdly low. Table stakes are 8-10x profit. |
Hey cheapskate, go hire an evaluator instead of scrounging for free advice here. |
NP but again, it depends! Multiples like that are typically for business with most, if not all, recurring subscription revenue. If it's a professional services firm, maybe with cyclical business or a long sales cycle, the multiple could be quite low. Industry, pipeline, all these things matter. FWIW, I also agree that M&A is entirely different than running a business. I have 3 family members who own small businesses and NONE of them now how to do a valuation nor have they gotten one done - in spite of my steady pressure to do so. - Signed my DC mom who has managed the acquisition of 3 companies |
Yes also true. There are some provisions, but it’s not impossible. |