
I have always been a pessimistic person. But I really think we have it in the bag now and, since I've always loved this song and have always thought this election was about our children, I wanted to share. Look at the polls and start thinking about which champagne bottle you want to open:
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And knock on some wood, throw some salt over your shoulder, or do whatever it takes to avoid overconfidence and the depression many of us felt after election 2004. |
Amen, 30 days is a lifetime in a political campaign. This is not the time to get complacent and assume its in the bag. Anything can happen. |
Kerry was nowhere this close at the same time in 2004.
This reminds me of a lecture I attended at my college reunion last May. Some professor basically outlined an argument comparing Obama to other "reform" candidates of the past: Hart, Bradley, Tsongas, Dean amongst others -- none of which became the nominee. Every time, the Democratic party went for the traditional New Deal Democrat with the experience. So this is the first time this has ever really happened. The prof. also noted that the Republicans had nominated the only person who could plausibly walk away from his own party. And he said that he really couldn't tell what would happen in the General Election: that it would depend on something that was going to happen between now (May) and the election. And I think it's happened. The economic crisis has happened And we're seeing the shift. As Gore said -- back in 2000, a lot of people thought it didn't really matter who their President was. Everything looked OK, and so people chose the guy they wanted to have a beer with. And before the market crashed, everyone was excited about Sarah Palin because "she's just like me", and they scoffed at Obama's education and his speaking like an elite. But you know, when something scary happens, and run-of-the-mill people start worrying about their pocketbooks and their families and they themselves can't figure out the problem (I know I sure can't) or how to solve it -- all of a sudden electing someone smarter than you doesn't seem like such a bad idea. Someone who went to a real college. Someone with a big vocabulary. Someone who demonstrates that he can ask the right questions and get to the right answers. We start to care much less about having a President you want to have a beer with or who belongs to the PTA "just like me". We start doubting that the Presidency is really just about straight talk and common sense. |
This has also occurred to me. If the economy were more stable/stronger, I think people would tend to vote the status quo (white elderly candidate and trophy VP). It's a double edged sword that we have to suffer a teetering economy in order to have the polls lean more toward Obama. Let's hope nothing more happens from now until election day - like a terror attack. I hope even the terrorists understand the consequences of doing something terrible before Nov. 4th. |
As much as I do not want there to be a terror attack (I work near the Capitol), I think that would only work in Obama's favor, too. |
No, I fear that it would work in McCain's favor. |
The only claim the Bush Administration has to its name is that since 9/11, there hasn't been another attack on our soil on their watch. If there's an attack, they lose that, and Obama's arguments that we've been focusing on the wrong part of the world and have allowed Al Queada to become stronger only becomes more credible.
But don't be surprised if the administration screws around with the "threat level" this month. That'll happen. |
I consider my losses in the market to be my contribution to Obama's campaign. Ouch. |
But wouldn't that be where McCain comes in spewing about his POW experience? |
Speaking of the POW experience, will Biden refrain from saying "A noun, a verb, and a cell in Viet Nam"? |
The video was cute--but so what.It doesn't mean a thing-it's marketing and I don't get why others see it as so inspirational. |
Don't worry. The terrorists aren't going to jeopardize their candidate. |