The sheepword of the day is...

[Anonymous]

Today's sheepword is "oversample". Don't debase yourself by parroting back the conservative line of the day without actually thinking.

[Anonymous]

Huh?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Huh?

Don't worry, it will be clear in a day or so.

[Anonymous]

as in talking pints all the sheep follow

[Anonymous]

pun intended pints vs points

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Huh?

Don't worry, it will be clear in a day or so.

In case first PP is impatient, the claim is that the polls are slanted to Obama because the polls are sampling Democratic voters at a rate determined by the 2008 election. Since enthusiasm is much lower this year, that is (in their view) "oversampling" of Democrats.

I'm not OP, but I assume that's the oversampling referred to.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Huh?

Don't worry, it will be clear in a day or so.

In case first PP is impatient, the claim is that the polls are slanted to Obama because the polls are sampling Democratic voters at a rate determined by the 2008 election. Since enthusiasm is much lower this year, that is (in their view) "oversampling" of Democrats.

I'm not OP, but I assume that's the oversampling referred to.

Yup, and it's easier to declare the sheepword than to see the sheep spread it, as though they actually learned something.

[Anonymous]

Baaaa!

[Anonymous]

So OP, can you provide us a valid reason pollsters believe Democrats are going to show up at polls in such higher numbers than Republicans? Do you think Obama supporters are going to show up in the numbers they did in 2008?

[Anonymous]

So, this has nothing to do with mix tapes or signal processing?

[jsteele]

Anonymous wrote:So OP, can you provide us a valid reason pollsters believe Democrats are going to show up at polls in such higher numbers than Republicans? Do you think Obama supporters are going to show up in the numbers they did in 2008?

The suggestion that pollsters are now basing samples on the 2008 turnout is itself wrong. Pollsters aren't doing that. Even Fox News own polls show Obama winning.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:So OP, can you provide us a valid reason pollsters believe Democrats are going to show up at polls in such higher numbers than Republicans? Do you think Obama supporters are going to show up in the numbers they did in 2008?

Pollsters don't believe that.

Can you tell me why you thought that was true? Or do you like being a sheep?

[Anonymous]

It's not oversampling. There are simply more people who identify as Democracts than there are Republicans. More and more every day. For fairly obvious reasons.