Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:BIG Day for NOVA Lax as both Pride and Stars LB took down #9 MD United East! (Breaking my no exclamation point rule).
Picks were pretty good this week overall, but I'm happy to say that my biggest miss of the season on a W/L was Stars LB's big upset.
Pride gutted out a tough 4-3 win, beating MDU East with a full-field, hustle-driven effort, in a game that could have had a bigger spread with some cleaner play and converted opportunities. Stars, playing MDU in their second game, pulled it out 8-6 with good attack and goalie/defense play, winning the second half 4-2.
Pride and Stars now sit in 3rd and 4th place separated by only Goals Against, in what must be a first for the NGLL Mid-Atlantic division with 6 out of 8 games played.
There are significant playoff implications from these wins, with Pride set up for a shot at the #2 or 3 seed if they win out, and Stars having a shot at the 5th or even 4th seed, if they do the same. Pride's seeding depends on the Hero's Green vs Coppermine matchup in game 8, and Stars seed will most likely come down to Goals Against compared to Crush.
Looking ahead, that means that Pride is likely to get Sky Walkers (if #2 seed), or M&D (if #3), in a first round playoff; Stars will almost certainly play Crush either way. If Stars pull out an even bigger upset against Coppermine, everything changes.
Week 4 Results--
> STARS -3 (6-3) --Stars Light Blue -4 vs MD United West (I've got Stars overcoming their surprising losses to MD United West in the Fall, and exceeding their predicted margin)
< PRIDE -17 (17-0) --Pride Red -13 vs MC Elite (Pride plays MC Elite in their first of a double header. Given the focus on the second game, they will likely try and shut down and play a controlled second half)
= PRIDE -1 (4-3) --Pride Red -1 vs MD United East (Only an hour to transition to their biggest game of the regular season and get back into a competitive mindset. Even if they jumped MDU in the rankings, a win here would be a first, and an upset for Pride. Calling it, but a close game)
*** STARS -2 (8-6) --MD United East -5 over Stars LB (MDU East plays Pride first; but they will be tough to handle if they lose) WRONG
Key Matchups
> HERO’S -2 (7-5) --Hero's Green -3 vs M&D Black (Playoff seeding implications here, and M&D will come to play, but Hero's Green will over-perform a bit)
The Rest
> C/MINE -3 (9-6) --Coppermine -10 vs M&D Red (M&D Red came back to earth last week. Expecting a similar spread against Coppermine)
< C/MINE -11 (14-3) --Coppermine -10 vs 3d Maryland (Tough matchups for 3D MD this weekend. They come in 3-1, but after getting taken to the woodshed by Sky Walkers, not sure they will be able to compete)
< M&D Bl -9 (13-4) --M&D Black -8 vs MD United West (M&D will be looking to bounce back after a loss to Hero's Green)
< CRUSH -10 (12-2) --Crush -8 vs 3d Maryland (Crush is playing very well and will over perform against the expected spread)
> CRUSH -2 (8-6) --Crush -3 vs Sky Walkers (Which Sky Walkers team will show up? A very hard team to predict; they could win this game by 4, or lose by 7, depending on the day. I'm sticking with the predicted spread.)
< CCLax -10 (11-1) --CCLax -7 vs M&D West (CC Lax is coming off a tough stretch of games and will double their expected spread)
* FCA -1 (9-8) --M&D Red -2 vs FCA (This is a tough one to call. Almost flipped it to FCA)
= FCA -5 (9-4) --FCA Blue -5 vs NEMS (Not the most interesting game)
< HERO’S W -3 (6-3) --Hero's White -2 vs M&D West (Hero's White will get their first W. US Club Lax is off on this one.)
< HERO’S W – 6 (11-5) Hero's White -4 vs Integrity (2 wins on the day for Hero's White.)
Parents of 2028 players enough glorifying this so called "data guy". All we are doing here is enabling degenerate gambling behavior. Think about this for a second, this a grown man setting lines on your 13-14 year old daughters lacrosse game. This is not something we need to applaud for being right, frankly shame on you parents for allowing this to happen. I was not familiar with this "data guy", or degenerate as we really should be calling him, until I saw a couple of you exclaiming how good a job he did with this weeks picks. I was obviously a bit off put by these statements as what could you possibly mean by "picks?". So I went back and found this post and I am absolutely horrified by what I am seeing. I don't want to even get into all this implications this might have besides the obvious, because if you won't do this for our daughters do it for him, he is clearly an addict who needs gambling so badly that he turns to his daughters lacrosse games and tournaments to relief. So if you know who this man actually is play assist him in seeking professional help and for the rest of us please collectively condemn this behavior