Ridiculous, the whole point of raising rates is to discourage the SVB risk strategy. This bank failure is proof that the fed was right, and hopefully we are catching it in time. Small pains now are necessary to catch these brittle cracks before we have real problems. Did you really think we could just print more money forever? |
This isn’t a “bailout” that’s happening with SVB. A “bailout” means that the public shareholders and debt investors would be compensated by the government. That’s not happening with SVB. The government needs to step in and make whole all depositors. Why? Because it will cause people - like my Boomer parents - to pull the excess $100K out of their current bank account to try to deposit it somewhere else. That would start a wide scale run on banks of all sizes. The government won’t be able to fix that situation and it’s basically financial Armageddon. Making depositors whole isn’t a bailout. |
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I don’t think the govt will need to use a cent of taxpayer money to make the depositors whole. There are enough assets to do it, even after the haircut of selling them at discounts. The depositors earned the cash, why should they not get it back? Bondholders and shareholders may get nothing, but that is a risk they took.
I feel like it is unreasonable for the tech start-up industry to collapse as a result of this. If it does it means poor management on the part of the FDIC. No reason not to negotiate some quick asset sales to get cash back to depositors. It’s dumb to let them fail because of a technicality like missing payroll or vendor payments because their cash is locked up. |
but you have not said anything to justify your distain. |
Credit unions fail as well. |
Maybe but making a bunch of wealthy tech companies and VC depositors whole by giving them $20B from Federal coffers because they did not perform due diligence corporate treasury work sure looks REALLY shady. The only people who will run to move money will be those who have assets in cash accounts about FDIC limit — and guess what, they are moving their money no matter WHAT happens — remember last time they bailed out Bear Sterns, and then the next bank fail (Lehman) so precedent is weak. Are you saying your boomers parents have more $500k in a single bank? Otherwise they won’t care, because all FDIC insured accounts will be fine. A run on the banks by over $250k corp accounts is happening Monday no matter what happens. No one wants to risk that their bank will be the Lehman. And it should happen; as corporations they should be managing this risk themselves, such as purchasing short term T-bills etc or have brokered cash accounts. |
Since Cyprus banks "bailed in" depositors, that has been the model deemed less likely to cause systemic risk. |
Does a bail in mean the depositors just take a haircut and get the rest of their money back?? |
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In the Cyprus situation, large depositors at one bank (Bank of Cyprus) had 47.5% of their uninsured money (any amount over €100,000) converted into shares of the financial institution. At anothe failed bank (Laiki Bank) all uninsured deposits were wiped out, and the lender was wound down and its operations folded into Bank of Cyprus.
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-cyprus-banks-idUKKBN1K3242 |
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This is a good article on the Cyprus bail in and the pros/cons of bail outs vs bail ins.
https://cepr.org/voxeu/columns/failing-banks-bail-ins-and-central-bank-independence-lessons-cyprus |
DP. It wouldn’t all be from federal coffers. There are probably buyers for SVB — they have a lot of assets — the question is the losses and how to handle them. There are a LOT of ordinary people with accounts over $250,000, many of them Boomers who are risk adverse. If they see early Monday morning that depositors are safe (probably through some combination of federal funds and a private buyer), they may not spook the same way. But if communication is unclear, if the depositors are a total loss, then by the end of the week we could be in a very, very different world. |
A boomer couple has a limit of $500k, right? Honestly, if they are risk adverse and have a bunch of cash tied up in one bank, they should move their money. I just doubt there are that many in cash for that amount. |
You get $250K each for checking and savings accounts. And you get it per person in the case of a joint account. So a boomer couple with joint checking and savings accounts at one bank would get $1m in FDIC insurance for their personal banking. Business accounts get separate deposit insurance. |
There’s a WIDE variance between “profitable” and “safe and sound.” This is the whole concept of risk management. There is an inherent conflict between protecting depositors and “reaching for yield” for investors. |
And so? So your answer is that banks should be permitted to take maximum risk with minimum regulation, then the government steps in to protect depositors? I don’t want to see the term “moral hazard” come out of anyone’s mouth ever again. |