Being simple minded has nothing to do with it. Plenty of financial advisors, Wall Street experts and business professionals have lost all their money and ended up broke in the past. There is nothing wrong in playing it safe. |
No, this is NOT an overlooked point. If anything, people who keep a mortgage irrationally *overestimate* their liquidity needs. When is the last time that you needed $700K at the drop of a hat and not in a timeframe that allowed you to reasonably plan for this need? Part of the benefit of paying off a mortgage is that you actually don’t need to have much cash around once your biggest expense is gone. |
I have a mountain of cash (OK, not a mountain, maybe a small hill) in the bank earning anywhere from 4.3% to 5% interest. My mortgage is 2.625% interest. It would be dumb for me to use that money to pay off the mortgage. Now, if you have a lot of cash in a legacy checking account, earning 0.25% - *that* is dumb. |
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I think the advice is aimed at people who are throwing every extra dollar at their mortgage and are NOT investing in the market much at all.
It took some shifting mentally for me to do this, because I hate debt. But you can’t argue with market returns. And our mortgage is 2.45%. So, in our case it’s clear we should invest instead of pinching to pay off our mortgage. We still throw a little extra at the payment here and there, but mainly throw chunks into investments instead. |
Since you have a mountain of cash available (presumably after maxing retirement accounts), I’m going to assume you have a reasonably high income – let’s say you’re in the 32% federal marginal tax bracket. And let’s assume you’re in Maryland so you pay another 8% in state and local taxes. Also, to keep things simple, let’s assume you’re taking the standard deduction and are not itemizing. If the average yield on your cash is 4.7%, then after taxes, your yield is 4.7% x 0.6 = 2.82%. Congrats, you’re earning less than 0.2% more than if you paid off your mortgage, and you’ve cramped your cash flow by keeping a bill that costs you thousands of dollars per month. |
| If you cannot pay your mortgage once you retire, you need to pay it off beforehand if you want to stay in your house. Its that simple for many people. |
Someone with a mortgage and high income in MD is almost certainly itemizing and therefore deducting that interest, ruining your hypo. |
This - thank you. People forget to take tax into the equation and also risk. |
The PP rather conveniently factored in the taxes paid on the earnings, but assumed away the tax benefits of deducting mortgage interest. When you manipulate the facts, it's pretty easy to come up with a scenario that favors your position . . . and he still couldn't even do that. He also completely disregarded any liquidity benefit - having easy access to cash if needed. But I'm more interested in your comment about "risk" - what risk do you see in the scenario above? |
| There is a reason so many people lose their homes. They think tgey are too smart to pay it off. |
Most people don’t have the ability to pay it off in the first place. And certainly the vast majority who lose their homes didn’t have that ability. |
| What is the evidence that rich people don’t have mortgages? |
And it is all relative to How much you have. We haven't had mortgages for over 10 years. We paid it off once we became worth over $10M. Sure, we might come out ahead if we kept a mortgage and invested the rest. But the mortgage paid off is a guarantee and liquidity is not an issue. Now we just focus on investing monthly, as there are two $2-3M homes paid off and main expenses are taxes and utlitilies, not a mortgage. We got a guaranteed rate of return (mortgage rates were 4%+ when we paid them off). So peace of mind, and now we can invest everything as we deem appropriate. |
But if you mortgage is 5-7%, you should be working to pay it off. As there is no guarantee you are getting 7%+ from the market. And once it's paid off, it's freeing to have all that extra to invest each month. |
At high income, you likely loose most of the "itemizations" from your taxes (with AMT or other means---not an accountant, just know it disappears slowly over a certain income). So high income people do NOT actually get much tax benefits from mortgage interest. Yet you will have to pay taxes on your "income/gains" for investments outside of 529 or retirement plans. |