Sure, if you bought an identical home to the $1.5M one you sold, the price would be comparable. But no one does that. In fact, your theoretical tells me you’ve never sold a home. It sucks, so people typically don’t go through the hassle of selling just to buy a similar home in a similar neighborhood. Not unless something weird is going on—like they hate the neighbors. Second, the answer to your question is stated in both your response and my original post. Higher prices will drive out people seeking bigger homes/affordability. I recommend visiting Redfin or Zillow. Compare similar sized properties in Del Ray and down the parkway. Check the price per square foot. It may be helpful to you. I have a feeling you’re more of a visual person. |
There's this mantra on the left that if we just build more housing, prices will fall. That may be true in places like Iowa, but it is most definitely not true in D.C. There's five million people in the suburbs who will quickly sponge up any additional supply. I guess you can buy their old place in Manassas. |
You’re correct in theory. Yes, the existing home also grows in value BUT the major threat is the growing difference in price gaps between property types. For example, a nice condo ten years ago might be a $300k price difference from a nice townhome in the same area. Now the spread is more like $500k-$700k. Ten years ago you could get a nice Del Ray bungalow for $800k. Now it’s more like $1.6M+. People are required to save and spend a lot more to get to accommodate their next stage of life. Plus rates are higher. Plus inflation. Etc. |
DP and I'm not trying to argue with you, but genuinely understand. Certainly nobody would ever expect to sell their current home and be able to but a nicer/bigger one in the same area at exactly the price you sold? That isn't how it works...ever, regardless of how anything is zoned. And that is for exactly the reasons you cite. If I bought my home at 700K and sell at 1M, I would only expect to get something comparable to my current home for that same 1M. My existing home is literally a comp. You have to spend more to get something more. I just don't see how zoning changes this for the worse. |
More like it’ll feel overpriced when you think about what you last paid for your larger SFH. Besides that, townhomes are great and the market determines what’s overpriced. |
The left? Pretty sure developers and builders are on the right. |
Yeah, weirdly, the left and sleazy real estate developers are indistinguishable here. |
Check out the below quote. It suggests the up zoning will cause property values and price gaps to widen at a faster pace, the crux of the declining affordability issue at hand.
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You are missing that people think of more that money when they think of their home and neighborhood. People plan to actually live in the houses for a really long time and do not want a 6-plex going up on either side and across the street from them. And believe it or not, they love their neighborhoods and want to sell the house to the next family who will love it the same way, not to a developer who will ruin the neighborhood no matter how much the developer offers, which is why unscrupulous developers often hide behind seemingly standard buyers. I can only think that you must be young and single and grew up in an apartment in NYC or something, if you honestly, honestly, can't understand this. |
+1 |
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Uh...well I wish I was young and single...but I am older and own a SFH. Sentimentality only goes so far and I will sell it to the next family that loves it...if they offer the highest price. I think you are the one that has pollyanish thinking that there are more sellers like you vs. me. BTW, a developer offering a fair price that builds complexes according to local zoning and housing codes and delivers a quality product is not "unscrupulous". |
If you think the price of your home is going to jump because of this, I have a bridge to sell you.
That's just something they say to placate homeowners terrified that some developer is going to build a monstrosity next door to them. |
These threads are so ridiculous because half the people think the result will be more expensive housing and half think it will be less expensive housing and there are people who use either outcome to be for or against the change |
Tell yourself that, but you couldn’t be more wrong. Builders aren't nonprofits and don’t build homes at a loss. The price of building materials have skyrocketed. Windows alone cost 25% more this year. Anything that goes up (SFH/TH/Condos) will demand a higher-than-ever before sales price that makes the builder whole and then some. |