Your best guess for Obama's probability of re-election

[Anonymous]

40%

[Anonymous]

I feel like this is going to be a replay of 2004, only in reverse. Obama's not well-liked, just like GWB wasn't, but the opposite party can't put up a decent contender. So I'm going to say slightly better than 50%.

[jsteele]

Complete metaphysical certitude.

Not that I'm all that thrilled about it.

[Anonymous]

jsteele wrote:Complete metaphysical certitude.

Not that I'm all that thrilled about it.

Wow.

65%

[Anonymous]

Fiddy-fiddy.

[Anonymous]

If it's Romney, 75%. If anyone else, 99%.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:I feel like this is going to be a replay of 2004, only in reverse. Obama's not well-liked, just like GWB wasn't, but the opposite party can't put up a decent contender. So I'm going to say slightly better than 50%.

Ditto.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:I feel like this is going to be a replay of 2004, only in reverse. Obama's not well-liked, just like GWB wasn't, but the opposite party can't put up a decent contender. So I'm going to say slightly better than 50%.

Ditto.

Me too.

[Anonymous]

yeah, 55%

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:If it's Romney, 75%. If anyone else, 99%.

Agree with this.

[Anonymous]

If the GOP run anyone but Romney, Obama is a shoe in. Romney could steal votes from Obama, tho, and it seems like he's the only viable candidate.

So.... 51% Omaba.

[Anonymous]

Obama has a war chest. The Republicans have no candidate and there's a chance Ron Paul could run as a 3rd party candidate and take R votes. Four more years baby, no doubt.

[Anonymous]

Are there any independents? Both parties suck. This might be a good time for someone completely new.

[TheManWithAUsername]

Anonymous wrote:Are there any independents? Both parties suck. This might be a good time for someone completely new.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_third_party_and_independent_presidential_candidates,_2012#Candidates

You can always write someone in, too.

[Anonymous]

Obama wins. It's a lock.