A thread of optimism: why do you think Trump will win in 2020?
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Anonymous
"If we had had confidence that the President clearly did not commit a crime, we would have said so," Mueller said. The Liar,Conman, Russian puppet, Pussy grabber is a criminal who is trying to escape through our legal loopholes. He can't escape that easily. Its not over yet. his taxes are gonna be released one way or the other. Russia probe isn't over as Manafort and tone are still going through their respective cases. Manafort colluded with Russian spy Kilimnik and Stone worked with Wikileaks. |
Anonymous
| Trump is just a two bit liar, why are you OK with that? |
Anonymous
You are now gonna vote for a Russian Puppet not just a conman, fraud, liar and Pussy Grabber, like before. Shame on fake patriots like yourself. |
Anonymous
Thanks for fixing the quotes. Things cost more in Europe but that doesn't suddenly mean a dollar spent in Europe somehow has less value than a dollar in the US. If an egg costs $2 in Europe, that egg represents $2 of economic value in Europe, even if the egg only contributes $1 of economic value in the US since it only sells for $1 here. What counts is the dollar value, not what the underlying good/service is. Different goods/services have different values to different people in different locations. I agree with the observation that the US has higher greenhouse gas emissions per capita compared to other developed countries. This is definitely one area we need to improve on. My point in this regard is that if you look at our energy use and emissions history, it is going in the right direction: energy consumption per $ GDP is going down, and our overall emissions are also going down despite growing population and growing consumption. Our goal should be to continue driving towards further efficiency. Consumerism is not the problem, it is the solution. I am puzzled by your Paris accord comment. Were you not aware of the recent revelation that China is responsible for damaging the ozone layer to the detriment of decades of efforts by the US and European countries? Guess who is a Paris Accord signatory? How is being a part of the Paris Accord meaningful when most of the developed countries that are part of the Paris Accord failed to meet the proposed emission reduction goals. Guess which country achieved the largest reduction in carbon emissions? Read this: https://capitalresearch.org/article/u-s-achieves-largest-decrease-in-carbon-emissionswithout-the-paris-climate-accord/ Again, don't fall into the common liberal trap of thinking that defaulting to some international body means a country is doing the right thing. Results matter. Empty promises don't. |
Anonymous
If price is more demand goes down and consumption is less, duh! Simple economics. Regardless,.US is still the highest per capita emitter and unless that goes down we can't accuse anyone else. That US emissions went down is due to coal being economically enviable and due to thousands of cases filed against coal plants because they don't meet pollution standards. Bloomberg and Tom Styer together are responsible in shutting down hundreds of polluting power plants using their billions to fight against global warming. Then another issue is the liberal states set the Fuel efficiency standards and in this regard CA and NY set the path and the rest of America including the laggard red states follow. CA hasn't budged on obama era fuel efficiency standards because it is STATE RIGHTS. So the auto manufacturers are not gonna make two cars, one clean car for blue and another polluting set of cars for red states. So thank the Blue states for being the leader and TRUMP can't do much to stop CA. |
Anonymous
By and large, occupations, including elected leaders, will to a large extent reflect participation. Just as certain jobs are predominantly filled by men, and some jobs predominantly are filled by women, we must not ignore the political affiliation tendencies of the sexes. Women tend to be more liberal in their political affiliation, and men tend to be more conservative. We would naturally expect the democratic party to have more women, and the conservative party to have more men. This isn't some failure of the two parties, it simply reflects the differences in political alignment that naturally arises out of differences between men and women. This is not something to be fixed - it's not broken. One significant barrier that I see preventing minorities and women from being more open about their conservatism is that they are often met with incredulity by other people that share their demographic traits. Women and minority leaders are viewed as traitors to their kind as if they have some moral character defect. How many black Republicans have been called Uncle Toms or house negros? I myself have been questioned by other Asians how I could possibly be a Republican when it's well established that Republicans are a bunch of racists. How can I be a member of a party that is racist against Asians? When asked for evidence, my fellow Asians point out that Democrats are the ones who advocate for more social benefits and less strict immigration policies - as if fiscal conservatism and merit-based immigration policy are inherently racist. This type of destructive rhetoric keeps a lot of minorities and women in the liberal camp because it's just a lot easier to fit in, especially for those with a more centrist view. |
Anonymous
I think you are confusing the economic concept of consumption with how much physical goods/services are actually consumed. If an egg costs $1 and at this price level 10 eggs were consumed, consumption is $10. If an egg costs $2 and at this price level 7 eggs were consumed, consumption is $14, even though only 7 eggs were consumed. What you probably didn't realize is that the economic value of an egg is not measured in the egg but in the cost, because the cost factors in a variety of other inputs and costs in the supply chain, as well as taxes and regulatory compliance. A clearer example may be this: organic sustainable-farmed eggs cost more at your local supermarket because more effort/costs went into the production of those eggs. That egg embodies these additional qualities which you as a consumer is paying for and consuming. For this reason, the actual consumption dollar amount, not the specific physical good/service purchased, is the true measure of consumption. I feel like I am having to repeat this many times: the US greenhouse gas emissions have indeed been going down despite higher population growth and increased consumption: 
And it has also been decreasing on a per-capita basis: 
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Anonymous
Now that there is a liar,conman,fraud and Russian Puppet at the top, any minority and many thinking white people are not gonna fall into the GOP trap. |
Anonymous
I never made the point that US carbon emissions per capita is NOT DECREASING, But that it is still the highest among major countries. You agreed to my point that consumption is reduced when price is increased. The earth doesn't care about economic value. The more the consumption the higher the need to increase production and the higher the need to clear tree filled forests to make way for farms. The clearing of trees due to increasing consumption and increase in consumption of beef(it takes 10X the resources to produce 1lb of beef) are directly propoetional to increase in consumption. |
Anonymous
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He'll win for several reasons:
Most Americans outside of the DC stay at home mom demographic sees a big change and high consumer confidence levels. Liberals have gone off the deep-end. They're insane. Everything is no racist, there are 37 different genders, trans-gay rallies in elementary school, mass importation of illegal immigrants, abolish ICE/CPB, Green New Deal, crazy twitter outrage mobs, antfa...most people want nothing to do with that crap. Even Europeans are laughing at us about this politically correct BS Economy is good thanks to Trump People don't believe what the media says anyways, they see the media as sycophants to the democrat party no one who is sane supports partial birth abortion or late term abortion. The pro-abortion crowd does, most Americans do not. Men are being tired of constantly being told they're sexist. They're not, they simply are confused. Women want equal rights and demand to be in high level CEO positions because they're "under represented." They're also under represented in fields such as Sewage Treatment, garbage men, plumbers, HVAC, carpentry, telecommunication techs who go out in the cold and fix your internet, cops, paramedics, lumberjacks, fishers, iron workers, power-line workers, roofers, truck drivers. Consequently, those are jobs with higher fatality rates more than any other job and not one I listed has higher than 25% female labor force. Only one remotely close is farmers, who only 24% are female. Most of what I listed is 90% male or above People are tired of being told everything they do and say is racist. It's not. The only people who seem stuck on race is virtue signaling white liberals. Normal people aren't. Those are just a few of the reasons. |
Anonymous
Russia puppet, liar,fraud , conman and his cult members aren't aware that his approval never crossed an avg of 43% with best of news. Now that HE IS NOT EXONERATED BY MUELLER, he is going no where. His taxes are gonna be released one way or another. Russia drip drip will continue. The cult is like the zombie that worships the leader even while he is exposed as fraud and liar and exits as the worst "precedent" in American history. |
Anonymous
I think anyone who feels like this voted for Trump last time. The open question is whether a competitor can command more voters - and whether every person who voted for him last time will do so again. He won by the slimmest of margins the last time. I don't think you can count on old, white, male culture war voters - as you've described in this post - being enough. But maybe you can. And incumbents certainly enjoy advantages, while incumbents with a good economy do even more so. |
Anonymous
It's not just old white men though...white women voted for Trump as well. And men in general are tired of being told they're sexist. Liberals don't believe in the presumption of innocence. Twitter is the modern day fire and pitchforks flaming and destroying people. Men are tired of being accused for things they didn't do and being destroyed because of it. |
Anonymous
The 2018 midterms suggests that women have had enough of voting for Republicans. https://www.brookings.edu/blog/fixgov/2018/11/07/2018-another-year-of-the-woman/ This platform you're suggesting here really is just aimed at men, and I think only really white men at that. (Nothing against white men - I'm married to one, and have one as my dad. But they aren't known to be the most enlightened voters.) I'm not saying that this platform of bitterness and frustration couldn't drive a lot of GOTV in 2020 - but it seems like a pretty small platform. At least to me. And especially when you consider that Republicans have made so little effort to reach out to women, minorities, or young people - in fact, they seem to have gone out of their way to let those groups know how little they matter to Republicans, except as foils and enemies. It looks to me like Republicans really seem to be banking on the old white guys pushing them over the edge. Maybe they'll have called this right - I don't know! Hopefully not. |
Anonymous
Total delusions. The cult 45 leader, conman and liar-in-chief lost by 3 million votes and was "selected" by slavery era EC with a grand total of 75K votes in 3 states. Since then there is a 2-3% decline in old white men repalced by 2% hispanics and 0.5% Asians, both vote 66% dems. If you look at this the generation method, the older silent gen(75+ and 66% trump voters) have declined by 5% and now replaced by gen Z who vote for dem 66%. In 2018 the dem turnout was so high and they had a huge victory of 9% margin because of the liars unpopularity. White women deserted him big time in 2018 and are unlikely to return and vote for the Pussy grabber, because women have more shame and decency than the shameless white men. |