The Lists are In...

Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:What I find interesting about this thread is how many people (myself included) are in a school the love but rolled the dice again.


This year, we are at a school that we really love and did not lotto. I will admit I am intrigued and excited by this new system snd find myself coming on here "to see everyone's brackets."

Good luck!
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:1)MV (2%)
2) Marie Reed Dual (IB) (Pretty sure thing if we are willing to wait until August)
3) Powell Dual Language (0% first round,maybe 25% if we wait until August)
4) Bancroft (0%)
5) Cleveland Dual Language (15%)
6) Ross (0%)
7) Capitol Montessori (12%)
8) DC Bilingual (?)
9) Appletree CH (Pretty sure thing if we wait until August)
10) Lee Montessori (?)

Also Lamb (12% if we wait until August), Stokes (0%), and SHIning Stars (30%)

My priorities are Spanish immersion (one or two way), followed by Montessori with adjustments for proximity and skewed perceptions of program quality. I have also included my estimated odds of getting into each as a one shot based on fact, rumor, and innuendo.





I have to say that I think your probabilities of getting in are way off. Shining Stars should be at 100%. The Principal said they went through the entire waitlist last year. Plus, with all the changes going on there, I think it will be a lot less desirable. LAMB I think may be 12% if you wait til September/October and only if you are willing to go to the NE location. My understanding is that the NW location has seats snagged by sibs and by those who are lucky enough to get a slot in the initial lottery. Stokes is higher too this year, since they have more spots than usual this year. Lee Montessori I'd put at 100%. Bad location for many, new school with no sibs, and Montessori--which works for some but not all kids. Marie Reed did go through its entire English only list last year, but dual language was in much higher demand, according to the principal, and he said several people got off in October. So by August, I don't think the dual language program is a sure thing.


I fully accept that my forecasts may lack information. In fact, this is exactly the kind of pointless discussion I was hoping to generate to sustain me through this month, for is not this the DC parent's version of March Madness, and should we not kibbitz about our brackets?



First, lmfao you are hilarious.

Second, I'm really trying to understand why people rank Bancroft, Cleveland and Powell over DC Bilingual. I understand Bancroft's Deal feed. But is there something I'm missing? DC Bilingual is tier 1 and had a kick-ass open house, and in DCUM-speak the same or fewer FARMS than the publics. I'm genuinely interested to know bc I ranked DC Bilingual high and am wondering if it has a secret weakness.
Anonymous
Why was their open house kick-ass?
Anonymous
We played the lottery when we were in 4th grade because of middle school. It worked for us, but as I reflect on the fact that my second grader is likely to be pushed out the current track, I wonder if the short-time game of all these shifts is ultimately so destabilizing that the system has to radically change.
Anonymous
Not PP, but we also found te DC bilingual open house very impressive. It was the most organized open house I attended. You got a good sense not only of academics, but of how they approach non-academics, like nutrition. Met with all the specials teachers in addition to classroom teachers. We ranked it very high, certainly higher than PK3 DCPS dual language programs. No comparison in our view.
Anonymous
For PK3:

1. Francis Stevens
2. Appletree - Columbia Heights

(3. Stay at daycare)
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:For PK3:

1. Francis Stevens
2. Appletree - Columbia Heights

(3. Stay at daycare)


These are odd choices. Why?
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:Not PP, but we also found te DC bilingual open house very impressive. It was the most organized open house I attended. You got a good sense not only of academics, but of how they approach non-academics, like nutrition. Met with all the specials teachers in addition to classroom teachers. We ranked it very high, certainly higher than PK3 DCPS dual language programs. No comparison in our view.


I'm the PP and I agree. Very organized, great energy, dedicated and enthusiastic teachers and staff.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:I do not think Lee is 100% chance of getting in at all. Well before the deadline I was told that over 200 people already had ranked the school; I had not submitted at that point and I'll bet lots of others had not either. They want like, what, about 70 kids?


I do. They have a lot of people ranking them #12, I will bet. I would not be surprised if they had slots to fill in round 2 of the lottery.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:1)MV (2%)
2) Marie Reed Dual (IB) (Pretty sure thing if we are willing to wait until August)
3) Powell Dual Language (0% first round,maybe 25% if we wait until August)
4) Bancroft (0%)
5) Cleveland Dual Language (15%)
6) Ross (0%)
7) Capitol Montessori (12%)
8) DC Bilingual (?)
9) Appletree CH (Pretty sure thing if we wait until August)
10) Lee Montessori (?)

Also Lamb (12% if we wait until August), Stokes (0%), and SHIning Stars (30%)

My priorities are Spanish immersion (one or two way), followed by Montessori with adjustments for proximity and skewed perceptions of program quality. I have also included my estimated odds of getting into each as a one shot based on fact, rumor, and innuendo.





I have to say that I think your probabilities of getting in are way off. Shining Stars should be at 100%. The Principal said they went through the entire waitlist last year. Plus, with all the changes going on there, I think it will be a lot less desirable. LAMB I think may be 12% if you wait til September/October and only if you are willing to go to the NE location. My understanding is that the NW location has seats snagged by sibs and by those who are lucky enough to get a slot in the initial lottery. Stokes is higher too this year, since they have more spots than usual this year. Lee Montessori I'd put at 100%. Bad location for many, new school with no sibs, and Montessori--which works for some but not all kids. Marie Reed did go through its entire English only list last year, but dual language was in much higher demand, according to the principal, and he said several people got off in October. So by August, I don't think the dual language program is a sure thing.


I fully accept that my forecasts may lack information. In fact, this is exactly the kind of pointless discussion I was hoping to generate to sustain me through this month, for is not this the DC parent's version of March Madness, and should we not kibbitz about our brackets?

We are IB for Marie Reed, so I think our odds are pretty good for the start of school.

I will defer to your superior info on Shining Stars. I also think your point about the LAMB campuses is well taken; the commute to that location may finish me off. I'm not sure that it matters that Stokes has 5 or 10 more spots. That may just move them into MV territory in terms of odds.

Lee is an interesting case. As a previous poster indicate, it seems to be choice #12 for a lot of people. Are the people who choose Lee as #12 the same wide-eyed people who have packed choices 1-11 with MV, Two Rivers, IT etc., or are they the pragmatic realists that have dotted their applications with Appletree and a school where they have proximity preference?



Oh, if you are IB for Marie Reed then you will get in during the initial lottery, I think. It's just out of boundary I was thinking of.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Not PP, but we also found te DC bilingual open house very impressive. It was the most organized open house I attended. You got a good sense not only of academics, but of how they approach non-academics, like nutrition. Met with all the specials teachers in addition to classroom teachers. We ranked it very high, certainly higher than PK3 DCPS dual language programs. No comparison in our view.


I'm the PP and I agree. Very organized, great energy, dedicated and enthusiastic teachers and staff.


I think the reason others didn't rank it high is that they skipped the open house. I can't imagine ranking a nearby dual language DCPS like Bancroft higher if you attended both open houses.
Anonymous
Although open houses can be used as a good gauge, they are not the end all be all. Many people reported back that they were less than impressed by MV's open house, but that didn't seem to steer people away. Some schools aren't lucky enough to have great open space to afford the organization to hold an open house. To be quite frank, some schools (from my experience LAMB and MV) dont really need to put the effort to hold an elaborate open house when they have no problem recruiting to fill the 8-12 spots that they do have. It didn't sway me from applying to both LAMB and MV.
Anonymous
PK3

1. MV

We also applied to LAMB and YY. Back up is the private DS is currently at. IB for NW school that starts in PK4.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Not PP, but we also found te DC bilingual open house very impressive. It was the most organized open house I attended. You got a good sense not only of academics, but of how they approach non-academics, like nutrition. Met with all the specials teachers in addition to classroom teachers. We ranked it very high, certainly higher than PK3 DCPS dual language programs. No comparison in our view.


I'm the PP and I agree. Very organized, great energy, dedicated and enthusiastic teachers and staff.


I think the reason others didn't rank it high is that they skipped the open house. I can't imagine ranking a nearby dual language DCPS like Bancroft higher if you attended both open houses.


Proximity (and my sanity every single school day) is much more important than a one evening open house.
Anonymous
21:50, do you work near the new MV location? how do you plan to make the commute?
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