The 3.1% shows the tariffs are already beginning to have an effect. It will take time to work its way through as pre-tariff inventories get drawn down and delayed tariffs hit. But it’s already starting. This is a big warning sign. |
Jerome Powell back in June: “We are refusing to cut interest rates because, everyone I know, is forecasting a meaningful increase in inflation from tariffs, next month.”
July Inflation just came in BELOW expectations ONCE AGAIN.. Fire Powell |
But still higher than target and if we cut rates, would increase further. Furthermore, tariff impact is still early with companies selling off front loaded inventory plus absorbing costs before passing on to consumers with higher prices given Trump constantly reverses course, delays, etc. Logically, Powell is correct to hold on rate cuts at this time. |
Go back to being a vaccine specialist. |
Those expectations were increased inflation. And that’s what we got. |
Core CPI did in fact go up. Powell was right. |
Didn’t Trump campaign on cheaper gas and eggs? Check and check. |
I love the MAGA attempt to shift the goalposts to “expectations.” If the experts guess right that inflation will increase, suddenly the increased inflation is no longer a concern! |
It came in below expectations, but it is still rising. Biden spent three years getting inflation under control and on the path to the fed target of 2%. Trump's inflation is moving in the wrong direction, but now, inflation doesn't seem to matter to MAGAs after bleating about it for 3 years (and complaining about the inflation that Biden inherited that was caused by Trump woeful mismanagement of COVID and the ensuing supply chain issues) |
Eggs were expensive because of Avian flu. Neither Biden nor Trump had anything to do with the rise or fall of those prices. Gas for me is more expensive now than under Biden, but YMMV. |
+1 And the experts are attempting to forecast with a uniquely unpredictable and mercurial idiot at the helm. |
Most of that money is a regressive tax on Americans, so less going into GDP |
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-08-12/us-july-tariff-revenue-jump-fails-to-halt-wider-budget-deficit
“.. The monthly budget deficit came in at $291 billion, or 10% more than the same month a year before ..” IOW, tariffs are replacing other taxes and fees that would have been coming as a result of a growing GDP, but instead, the burden is placed on american consumers in a regressive manner and we are still losing ground on the debt |