We lost but it’s a close loss so we won is a hell of a message. |
| VA-2 flips from D to R. |
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The Dems are likely to retain the Senate.
There is an outside chance they hold the House. Those are not a red wave, either way. |
I'm not saying Democrats won. I'm a foreigner, so *I* am winning nothing
My point is that Democrats have been hurt by outside conjuncture, not an integral weakness in their own ranks. Republicans have been hurt by inner weaknesses. In my opinion and because of the above, Democrats will rebound better than Republicans. |
There are enpugh votes outstanding that Warnock could avoid a run-off. |
Historically so far, Dems have way outpaced expectations. Also, we don't know which way things will go when the close races are called. If Republicans see this as anything other than a major slap down on abortion, they are deluding themselves. |
| Patty Murray (D) in Washington and Ron Wyden (D) in Oregon both re-elected |
This right here. (Although I think Barnes may lose- would love to get the analytics from the WI geek on whether dem counties have been tallied and the role of mail ins, bc Barnes is trailing) |
It should have been a red wave. Instead, it's a red tinkle. People have been saying this for months. Just because people on DCUM are super disappointed that the House is going Republican (and the Senate too perhaps), it doesn't change the fact that the Republican party is handicapped when it shouldn't be handicapped. Obviously, it's weighed down by Trump and his many shenanigans. And also, that Supreme Court abortion debacle. What should have been a resounding Republican victory will turn out to be a laborious and bruising limp over the finish line. This does NOT bode well for the 2024 election from the Republican point of view. |
Everything I have read has said that NV will go R. I also think that PA will go to Fetterman. |
City of Milwaukee is going to be a few more hours. They always take a LONG time to count the mail ins. City of Milwaukee is very very democratic. Dane County (Madison) -- bluest and 2nd most populated county in state -- is pretty much all in. There's a few itty bitty rural counties that aren't in at all yet that will go heavy for Johnson. Remember Wisconsin can't count mail ins until the polls close so much of what's left will be mail ins. |
They will pretend it's a huge victory, but privately they've already gotten the message on abortion. |
I’m from Allegheny County in PA. Both my parents voted there. They have nothing against Oz but they say a lot of people feel like he’s not a real Pennsylvanian. Also Oprah endorsed Fetterman, so that definitely hurt Oz. |
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Don't forget that many of the races are only including in-person voting. The mail-in vote was historic in quantity and tends to lean Democratic by almost 2/1. Any race that is close can be turned once the mail-in votes are counted.
This is why Republicans want the counting stopped. They tend to do best with walk-in voters and poorly with mail-in voters. And most states cannot even start to count mail-in votes until election night. |
Yeah, I'm worried about NV. She was polling well behind. |