F is corporate bonds, G is government bonds. |
Yes. OP is conservative and doesn't want to have to think about it. So why should she tilt towards riskier assets? Your suggestion is more complicated, out of line with standard investing advice, and goes against her own risk-averse inclinations. it would require her to pay attention and start shifting towards bonds later on. I am not saying you are wrong, and your strategy would be the right advice for you; but not for her. |
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Stay with the current allocation.
Wait for the market to tank by at least 20% (might be tomrrow might be a few years from now you just have to wait). Move everything to 100% stock and let it stay there till you retire. Direct any new contributions to the g fund only which will then rebalance your portfolio over your lifetime. What you are not accounting for in your allocation is your FERS pension. Most people in the private sector do not have that. Because you have that fall back plan you can afford to take the high equity allocation risk. I would not take it at current valuations though. |
Stop giving crazy market timing advice. The market might go up by another 50 percent while she is waiting for the crash! |
I *just* spoke with a colleague today who was doing CSI until last year and then moved his money into G fund, trying to time the market. (Remember when Brexit and Trump's electoral win were supposed to tank the market???) Well, he regrets doing so because of the growth he's missed out on over the course of that year and reallocating his money back to CSI. |
Wait until the market is at an all time low and then buy! Then wait until it is at all time high, but about to tank, and then sell! I don't understand why people don't get this! |