I think this kind of identifiability is why smaller privates don't do Naviance. |
At our school, all of the Naviance data is entered by the College Counseling Office. My son didn't even really know what his GPA was because the school doesn't calculate them to share with students, but they had calculated it to enter into Naviance. The College Counselor also has access to SAT Subject Test scores on his view of the Scattergrams - that doesn't show on the Student/Parent view, but it's another very useful piece of information for him as he counsels students about where to apply. |
But how do get the access to schools accepted/rejected/WL? Colleges don't report back to schools. |
Good point. At our private school (the one with about 90 seniors) the College Counseling Office is in constant contact with the seniors about their decisions and knows pretty well about all the outcomes. |
Naviance also has full admissions data for most schools (sometimes in even more detail than the Common Data Set provides, although it's unclear if it is always up to date). I think the high school specific data might be most useful when looking at the data for in-state public universities that have tons of applicants each year. For example, UVA might get 120+ applications per year, and the data goes back five years, so that's a pretty good sample. For my DC's school, you can see that most of the students accepted at schools like UVA, W&M, Tech etc. have very high GPAs (higher than what the schools report as the average GPA for all accepted applicants). Based on Naviance, we know that DC is better off applying to OOS public schools. |
For public schools with 500-600 kids, it's not possible to do what you describe. I think accept/reject data is the weakest link in the system for that particular reason. Down plays rejected/over plays accepted because kids are better entering the acceptance than rejected... |
In FCPS, you can only see data for the past five years for students at your school. However, for schools that have too little data to show (and they won't as it will indicate scores of the one who got in), the counselors and college advisor can look at the scattergrams for the whole county so you can see them if you go in an have a chat. We found it most helpful for our DC to see what he needed to get into his target schools. One thing to remember is that it shows the GPA for the student for all fours years of HS and because GPAs tend to get better as they go along (mainly due to AP classes). For example, at the end of junior year, DC has a GPA of 3.78, he graduated with a 3.95. So it will record the 3.95. So, you can move the average admittance for most school (not the ones well above 4.0) up a few notches. |
DC was asked where he was going and where he was admitted in the last quarter of school. |
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In a perfect world, I wish colleges would be so much more transparent about what it takes to be admitted. But I know they have a self-interest in making every kid believe it's possible to get in, to keep those applications coming.
For example, I just looked at the Naviance scattergrams from my kid's school (private, in Maryland). Over the last 5 years, kids with stats of a 3.8 GPA and 1350 SAT (or higher) are 13 for 13 getting into UVA. 2 other kids with 1250+ and a 3.9+ got in. And everyone else - other than recruited athletes with far lower scores - was rejected. At U of Maryland, of roughly 50 applicants with 1300+ SATs, all were accepted except for 2 - the 2 lowest GPAs, of 2.8 and 3.0. Of kids with a 3.5 GPA or higher, all were accepted except the one kid who had an 1120. As a parent, I would much rather know this specific info, rather than broad generalities about middle 50th percentiles. It demystifies chatter like "Maryland is getting hard to get into" and lets you know that - from our school, at least - you need either a 1300 and a 3.1 GPA, or a 3.5 and 1150 SAT, to get into Maryland. |
| My DCs attended a high school known for tough grading, and only because of Naviance did I learn how to adjust their GPAs against the common data set info for different colleges. Obviously it's not perfect but it did help us find good matches that on paper looked more like reaches. |
This seems a simple case, but for private colleges it is much more mixed picture with many high scoring kids rejected and lower scoring kids accepted. There seem to be other factors in play that make the graphs hard to interpret. In your School's Navianceg graphs are recruited athletes, URMs and legacies designated differently? |
No hooks. |
No - but in the case of the recruited athletes, the difference in the stats of the accepted students is strikingly apparent. It's not too hard to guess the identity of the guy with the 29 ACT and 3.3 GPA who got into Stanford when you know they've recruited one kid from the school during the 5-year period on the Scattergram. When there are clear outliers, I just disregard them, because they pretty clearly pertain to kids who have hooks that my kid doesn't. |
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If you're at a bigger public school that sends a decent number of kids to the top universities, and particularly after the 5-year averaging, it's pretty hard to tell who's who among the acceptees. As a result you can't always figure out which hooks were in play.
Moreover, hooks like sports, legacy and URM don't explain the whole story. State-level awards in music or the arts, or an Intel scholarship, maybe behind the acceptance. For kids in big public schools, it's probably best to assume that the acceptees with really low scores had some kind of hook or talent. But that's the best you can do with guessing. |
Yes. This is an unfortunate side effect of the obsession with acceptance rates. It is mind-boggling how many otherwise intelligent people allow themselves to be influenced by this easily manipulated metric. |