Twins in the LAMB Lottery (2015-2016 PK3)

[Anonymous]

I noticed some twice have the same number while others don't. Or is there two kids with the same name?

[Anonymous]

The energy spent by OP writing that schizo book would open 10 charter schools at least. He/she should try that. I guarantee it will be successful.

[Anonymous]

Why else does Mt P have an exclusive "Twins" group but to create conspiracies that'll get their students better placement?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:I kind of viewed the DCPS lottery as a silver lining of having to do IVF to get pregnant.
I married a man with a low sperm count. We did IVF when I was 31. It sucked and cost us a lot of money.

But darn it, they got into Yu Ying, Mundo Verde, and Cap City for PK4.
The down side will be trying to get both kids into private school (should be go that route---it's very hard to get 2 spots) and paying for college for the exact same 4 years.

I'd say you deserve the spots for all the $ you are and will be putting out!

[Anonymous]

Op -- have you done the analysis yet of the "What's wrong with Hardy" post?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Holy shit. I f-ing love DC.

+1

+2 Whoa!

+3 another reason why they should have gone with initials. Yikes!

You think initials and date of birth would make it harder to identify twins?!

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:I kind of viewed the DCPS lottery as a silver lining of having to do IVF to get pregnant.
I married a man with a low sperm count. We did IVF when I was 31. It sucked and cost us a lot of money.

But darn it, they got into Yu Ying, Mundo Verde, and Cap City for PK4.
The down side will be trying to get both kids into private school (should be go that route---it's very hard to get 2 spots) and paying for college for the exact same 4 years.

You got lucky. I know two sets of twins who got no where for both ps3 and pk4.

[Anonymous]

My set did not make it in a few years ago. No worries. We benefitted elsewhere wotp!

[Anonymous]

Siblings are also listed together, it's not all twins. If you applied for both PS3 & PK4 - the PS3 sibling is listed first followed by older sibling on the PS3 wait list. The same names are listed in reverse order on the PK4 wait list.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Siblings are also listed together, it's not all twins. If you applied for both PS3 & PK4 - the PS3 sibling is listed first followed by older sibling on the PS3 wait list. The same names are listed in reverse order on the PK4 wait list.

Thank you. LOL at the cheating claim from batshit OP.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Siblings are also listed together, it's not all twins. If you applied for both PS3 & PK4 - the PS3 sibling is listed first followed by older sibling on the PS3 wait list. The same names are listed in reverse order on the PK4 wait list.

+1

[Anonymous]

In so sorry there isn't a best of DCUM like on Craigslist. OP's batshit crazy rant is definitely The One!

[Anonymous]

OP is off fashioning a skin suit from her victims.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Regarding twins in the LAMB lottery results, in PK3 in particular (I didn't look at PK4):

Some twins are named twice, with their sibling, with the two names listed in reverse order. So, "A & B Lastname" and "B & A Lastname," as two separate entries. There are seven pairs like this. That's sort of a clever way to distinguish twins from unrelated kids with common last names.

There are nine pairs of adjacent entries with the same last name, but without any second first name mentioned. Odds are small that two unrelated kids with the same last name would happen to land in the ranking next to each other. So, presumably they're pairs of twins (the higher-ranked sibling pulled up the lower-ranked sibling). Curiously they are all in the top 95. Nowhere in the other 449 was there a pair of adjacent entries with the same last name.

Further, there are six entries of the form A+B but for which there is no matching B+A entry. We can presume these represent six more pairs of twins, but for whatever reason, they did not enter the second child in the lottery.

So, counting up all the twins... We have 7 + 9 + 6 = 22 pairs of twins, or 14 + 18 + 6 = 38 children who are twins (since the six didn't bring their twin to the party)

According to the CDC (http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/databriefs/db80.pdf):

The twin birth rate in the United States rose 76% from 1980 through 2009, from 18.9 to 33.3 per 1,000 births.

According to those numbers, one would expect the 544 LAMB PK3 applications to include approximately 18 twins. Instead, there are 38 twins, more than double the expected number. So, whoever fired off his/her mouth about the number of twins had a point about the prevalence of twins.

There are two "cheater" entries which each represent a child entered twice. #44/45 and #46/47 are both also listed together further down the list: #151 and #534. For each of those two cases, the twins have three entries between them: A, B, and A+B (so A entered twice). Cheating seems to have paid off; both are ranked highly.

There is one case of: A+B and B, but that just means B forgot to mention A. (this case is included in the nine)

It's unclear why there are six A+B entries that are lacking a B+A entry. None of those entries are ranked well. For their sake, hopefully those families didn't forget to enter twice.

Overall, twins faired better than single kids. Almost half the twins (18 of the 38) and in the top 95 (the top 17% of the whole population). This is to be expected, since essentially each twin has two ways to win (either get a good ranking themselves or hope their sibling does).

So, hooray for being twin and double-hooray for the two families who cheated (a little). Classic DC, lots of twins and a few cheaters.

You do realize that the later in life a woman has children, the more likely she is to need IVF, don't you? And that IVF greatly increasing the odds of having twins. And that highly educated women in high cost of living areas such as DC are far more prone to wait until later in life to have children than the average American woman? And that far fewer highly educated parents who don't care for their IB schools (or whose IB schools don't offer PK3) can afford private school PK tuition for twins than for single children?

The average age in the US for becoming a mother for the first time is about 25. What do you think it is among mothers who entered their children in the lottery for LAMB?

[Anonymous]

Good thing I had quadruplets!