| Love my car free lifestyle! |
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I am more concerned about the long term disruptions. I am surprised people don't see what's happening here. Who were the top 2 suppliers of oil to China? Venezuela is an OPEC member. And the US now essentially controls Venezuela's oil market and de facto decides how Venezuela will act at OPEC meetings.
The oil market will never be the same again. It remains to be seen how OPEC members will at with the US now at the table. |
👆👆👆 |
Thanks Biden? |
| My MAGA buddy said that Iran war will have no impact on us here in the usa |
Well, there's a war all over the middle east which is preventing oil from getting out plus the destabilizing intervention earlier this year in Venezuela. What did people expect would happen. |
China has been smartly pushing its car supply into EVs. Being less dependent on oil isn't just an environmental thing, it protects your economy from supply chain disruptions on a commodity that's been disrupted repeatedly. |
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Qatar, Kuwait, Bahrain, and Iraq export 100 percent of their oil though the Strait of Hormuz. The Saudis have a pipeline to the Red Sea, but otherwise 80 percent of their oil also goes through Hormuz.
There are zero tankers passing through. And without insurance and security no tanker is risking it. It is impossible for the US and Israel to secure the Iranian side without a massive ground force, which ain't happening. This was all a very predictable catastrophe. The global economy is going to tank. Israel has started to hit Iranian refineries and oil depots. Iran will counter of course. It's a big mess and it's going to last a long time. Oil will hit $200 soon. |
Pp here. I got into energy stocks at Christmas because the charts indicated a move to 150 or 200 following a breakout from a 3 year base of consolidation. I thought it was preposterous at the time but... here we are. |
Ah yes the classic 3 year base of consolidation. Always precedes a Middle East war. |
So much winning! |
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The markets will be interesting today, so far:
After the sharp fall of the ASX 200 in Sydney, leading stock markets across Asia are also under significant pressure this morning. Japan’s Nikkei 225 is down 6.1%. South Korea’s Kospi is down 6%. |
A friend of mine died in Iraq. I remember when the invasion started very were just 15 and we thought for sure it would be over by the time we turned 18. |
I realize you're being a d*ck but you can't argue it didn't predict a big move up! |
Actually I was more focused on the 4 year base of consolidation. That has foretold every stock market crash back to Roman times. The 3 year base is very iffy generally. |